Rain chances return to Texas today, with more widespread precipitation this weekend. Isolated to scattered showers are possible this morning across the western third of Texas. A few storms are possible this afternoon in the Panhandle and West Texas. We’ll see those chances spread into the eastern half of Texas by tonight through Friday. Not everyone will receive rainfall – this will be a hit-or-miss scenario. One-tenth to one-quarter inch of rain is possible out of the heavier showers. Severe storms (tornadoes, large hail, destructive winds) are unlikely. It will be windy, though. Temperatures will remain above average for February standards.
Rain chances will increase, with thunderstorms also becoming likely Friday night and Saturday across the southeastern half of Texas. A few stronger storms, with hail and gusty winds, are possible during this timeframe. One to two inches of rainfall are possible across the eastern third of Texas, with over one-tenth of an inch back west encompassing the eastern half of Texas.
Winter Mischief in the Panhandle & West Texas?
Across the Texas Panhandle and West Texas, the forecast is more murky and dependent on the track of an upper-level storm system. A winter mix (rain, wet snow) is possible for some locations in those two regions. If some colder model data solutions are verified, we may see modest snow accumulations on Saturday night and Sunday. Yet, it’s also quite possible that there’s hardly any snow whatsoever. As we transition into the short-range over the next two to three days, we’ll better understand any snow-mischief potential.
Active Weather Continues Next Week
The Climate Prediction Center indicates we’ll remain in an unsettled weather pattern next week with below-average temperatures and above-average precipitation chances. We’re not anticipating an arctic airmass, but we may not be in the 70s and 80s. That being said, we’re not done with winter.
One indicator for longer-term pattern changes we use is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). That index shows signs of going strongly negative for the second half of February. Going negative would promote another cold-air intrusion into the Continental United States. Beyond that, who knows – but it does get cold during winter. (Yes, that’s common sense, but also a reminder that because False Spring has been around for two weeks, we’re not done with freezing temperatures yet).
Anxious to get rose plants..I know..Just WAIT !
Jan White you can plant roses any time of year. From October to March they should be bareroot. A good nursery can help you with that.
I ALmost planted seeds this week but I managed to hold off because I know my luck with planting to early. Lol
Adrian Bollinger same here. Just continued working on garden beds and such outside. I did start some seeds indoors to get a jump start for whenever we are in the clear of our last freeze.
Adrian Bollinger yep still to early. It’s faux spring rn. When the mesquite trees start to put leaves out you’re good for go. And my mesquite trees are still leafless.
Adrian Bollinger I just start my seeds indoors so when winter is ACTUALLY done they will be ready to go outside.
Carissa if I had room I’d do that too 🙂
Adrian Bollinger i haven’t started any seeds yet. Generally, the average last freeze is around March 15th.
Ain’t buying it.
Wait ti after Easter, it’s always cold til then
Vickie Mott Adcock Easter is really early this year too, March I believe
Linda Pitts Workman HI, I just googled it. Easter is March 31
Denise Eckhardt so, it could possibly still be chilly.
Linda Pitts Workman Sure could
No more freezing cold please or snow. Rain is good especially in Texas.
Linda Pitts Workman why not, we’ve hardly had any winter weather in Texas this season
Yes
please snow in Texas
Linda Pitts Workman snow ❄️ in Texas
Javier Herrera hello how are you doing??
Uri happened Feb 11th not out of the woods yet
Laurie Sarubbi
Mark Sarubbi hello text me a message
Evanne Stallings
Eso Kay
It’s a trap. No spring plantings yet. With our luck, we’ll see a dozen tornadoes, ice, snow and a hurricane all before spring. 😆
Please, please, please no snow in East TX…WE are ready for Spring
Jan Bedsole hello text me a message
The the panhandle maybe. Not for N Tx
Shame to see you using the same clickbait hype-graphics that someone else uses… his name rhymes with Cryin’ Tall.
I wish it would snow a foot. We need the moisture!
Id gladly welcome thunderstorms but no snow please.
I’ve seen it snow on Easter before
Billy Jones same
Jonathan Young
Ok look we will take the Thunderstorm 🌩️ and wind 💨 but snow ❄️ NO THANK YOU 😊 lol.. please no cold weather Texas is not for that or a least part of Texas lol.. 
Nooooooooo… i just start playing outdoor pickeball
Had to mow mid-week. That was fun.
Lisa Mary Moran Julie Fitzgerald
Aniya Wyatt told you lol
Nooooo….I want summer!
Susan Weaver we’ve been in the ‘false spring’, one more winter and then we’re done. (things I’ve learned in 5 years!)
You’re no fun! 😂
Bring me a good snow with NO ice 🙏🏼
North central Texas will choose to disagree on this one. Judging by our last “polar vortex”, we’ll be fine. Overhyped.
Clint Rice hello text me a message