Discussion – 

13

Discussion – 

13

Warm Weather with Rain Chances Ahead

Six days until Christmas, and all through our state, clouds are increasing while warm temperatures won’t abate. Thus, we prepare – for some rain, though nothing severe, with hopes and dreams of drought relief and some hair… for Baldy-in-Chief, at least. That’s it for me, no more rhyming today – for the forecast must go on, even if I fear it’s too late!

Blame the ever-apparent sinus infection and Nyquil-induced insanity for that exciting start. Unlike last year’s lead-up to Christmas, we won’t need heavy winter coats this year. Temperatures across Texas will remain warm, with high temperatures in the 50s, 60s, 70s, and even 80s through Christmas Eve. No significant arctic intrusions are heading our way, though cooler weather may arrive on Christmas Day. Sorry, I said no more rhyming. What can I say? It’s part of my last name (Reimer, pronounced Rhyme-er).

Rain chances begin Thursday in Far West Texas

An animated image showing the American long-range weather model's output for rain timing beginning Thursday and continuing off and on through Saturday.

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We’ll embark on the storm train beginning tomorrow. Upper-level storm systems will tend to traverse across Texas every three to four days. With our system tomorrow night, rain chances will increase early Thursday across Far West Texas (Borderland, El Paso region) east into the Permian Basin, Texas Panhandle, and West Texas. From there, scattered showers will move east across the eastern half of Texas on Friday before moving out Friday night. This won’t be an ‘everyone gets rain’ situation, nor will most rain be particularly heavy.

Out with one, second one on its heels

Our second upper-level storm system will begin arriving on Saturday, first in Far West Texas (just like Thursday), and moving east across the eastern half of Texas on Sunday – Christmas Eve. We may see some thunderstorms on Sunday as a slightly more unstable airmass tries to advect inland into the Coastal Plains and Southeast Texas from the Gulf of Mexico. At this point, the severe thunderstorm threat looks low/limited. It doesn’t look like a big deal in the rowdy storm department.

For now, rain chances will hopefully begin ending Christmas Morning across the eastern third of Texas, leaving a mainly dry Christmas Day for Texas. There is a meager chance (about 1 in 10) for a few light snow showers in the Texas Panhandle on Christmas Day, with a possible winter storm impacting Colorado and western Kansas.

White Christmas? Dream on.

Otherwise, I can say with certainty that it will not be a white Christmas in Texas. However, we will see cooler temperatures try to move into Texas behind Sunday’s storm system. Cooler being the key word, since the arctic airmass is still bottled way up north. At some point, that’s likely to ‘break south’ and try to visit our corner of the United States. For now, though – we continue with comparatively warmer weather.

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David Reimer

13 Comments

  1. Kw Whitley

    Bahumbug…l want some snow…tho lll admit this is pretty nice weather for dec

  2. Victor Garcia

    La Niña, El Niño, doesn’t matter, it’s just gonna get warmer.

  3. Tony Logsdon

    It’s a typical Autumn December in Texas.

    • Jon Andrew Crist

      Tony Logsdon we will be 15~ degrees above average through the holiday weekend, that is not typical.

    • Tony Logsdon

      Jon Andrew Crist I’ve lived in north central Texas for over 50 years. This is the normal for this time of year. It is the very cold sub-30° and yes 80° days that are odd but it all happens in cycles, just like with rain and snow. I’ve spent Christmas Day in shorts and a t-shirt in most every decade I’ve been alive and wrapped up warm in most every one too. It’s cooler than some and warmer than some. Typical, Autumn like December in Texas.

    • AC Hale

      Tony Logsdon Same. I remember playing outside on Christmas in warm weather as a kid, as did my parents.

  4. Landon Estay

    I am El Niño! Which is Spanish for… The Niño!

  5. Mary Chris Anders

    That’s My Texas😀

  6. Jared Thomas

    I don’t mind warm temps. We get enough cold weather in January-March..

  7. Junior Best

    My kind of TX winter 👍

  8. Dee Ortega

    We don’t have winter here moron only summer spring that it if that at all 😂😂 😂😂

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