The first round of rain has moved eastward across Texoma and North Texas this afternoon. Rain will continue progressing eastward into Northeast Texas and East Texas by early this evening. No severe weather is anticipated with this first round of rain. Severe weather isn’t likely, but severe ‘people don’t know how to drive on wet roads syndrome’ is likely to cause an interesting evening drive home.

Our second wave of precipitation fired up a couple of hours ago near Lubbock. Small hail was common across Lubbock, but that didn’t last too long. Storms have now progressed eastward into Northwest Texas and the Big Country. Most storms are currently behaving, but we’ll have to keep an eye on them through the evening. The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted a risk for severe storms this evening across the Big Country, Northwest Texas, Texoma, and North Texas. More isolated severe storms are possible this evening in the Concho Valley, Hill Country, Central Texas, and the northern Brazos Valley. Damaging straight-line winds and quarter to ping-pong ball size hail are probable with the most intense storms. Brief tornadoes and perhaps a rogue ‘hailer’ with larger hail are secondary threats.

Timing for second round of storms

Simulated weather model radar from the 2 PM run of the high-resolution rapid refresh (HRRR).

A line of showers and thunderstorms will progress eastward across the northern half of Texas this evening. Some storms are going to try to become strong to severe. Current projections have the storms arriving in Sherman, the D/FW Metroplex, and Waco between 7 PM and 9 PM. Those storms will continue moving east tonight and bring more rain to Northeast Texas, East Texas, and the northern Brazos Valley.

Some storms may be strong to severe with localized damaging winds and quarter to ping-pong ball size hail. Brief tornadoes can’t be ruled out, and not all storms are going to be severe. Some flash flooding may occur too, but we really could use some rain for the most part. The storms’ southern extension is questionable, but we may see a few storms try to infiltrate Austin and San Antonio late this evening.

Jason Cooley is out chasing in the Concho Valley this afternoon on the look out for hailers. We’ll have a few folks along I-35 as storms approach from the west this evening. David will be in the office providing weather updates on our digital media platforms. You can keep track of the storms with our interactive weather radar here on our website or in our free mobile app.