Coastal Bend/Coastal Plains

A small cluster of thunderstorms extends from just north of Beeville to Kenedy to Nixon. The thunderstorm cluster is moving east/southeast at 35 miles per hour. Damaging straight-line winds up to 70 MPH and golfball size hail are possible in stronger cores. We should see storms weaken this evening, but they may continue past 10 MPH.

Eastern North Texas, East Texas, and Southeast Texas

Scattered showers and thunderstorms continue to move northeast. There are no severe weather warnings at the time of this posting. A few storms may still become severe this evening with hail, localized damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado. Most activity, however, will remain sub-severe.

Northwest Texas, Texoma, and North Texas

Simulated weather model radar through early Saturday morning.

A line of severe thunderstorms extends from Holliday to Wichita Falls to Byers to Duncan (Oklahoma). The thunderstorms across Northwest Texas are generally moving east/southeast at 20 to 30 MPH. Hail up to the size of golf balls and wind gusts up to 70 MPH are possible.

We believe storms will tend to grow more upscale by 10 PM. The tail-end of the squall line could impact portions of North Texas as storms move east along the Red River. We’re not completely sure how far south the squall line will develop tonight. Northern D/FW may end up with a final round of storms tonight.

Thereafter, the squall line would progress across Northeast Texas. Localized damaging wind gusts over 60 MPH, hail, and perhaps a tornado would be possible with the squall line tonight. Thunderstorms should be completely east of Texas by 5 AM Saturday. Dry and pleasant weather will be commonplace across Texas through the weekend.

Scattered severe thunderstorms are likely on Tuesday, perhaps in the eastern two-thirds of Texas, as a classic springtime weather pattern sets up shop.