Discussion – 

31

Discussion – 

31

Egg-citing Texas Easter Heatwave & April Fools Severe Storms

The final days of March will be dry across Texas. Precipitation chances will remain minimal until April begins. While we won’t have rain, we will have plenty of wind and climbing temperatures. Today won’t be too windy, with a few wind gusts approaching 30 MPH in the western half of Texas. We’ll see gusty winds up to 45 MPH out of the south on Friday across the state. Similar conditions are likely on both Saturday and Sunday.

 

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The wildfire danger to end this work-week and through the weekend will be very high across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Permian Basin, Big Bend, Borderland (El Paso), into Southwest Texas. Grass fires may move rapidly.

This weekend’s primary issue will be wildfire danger across the western third of Texas. A surface dryline will keep the eastern two-thirds of Texas under increasingly humid conditions by Sunday and Monday. An acrid airmass with warm temperatures and gusty winds will promote fast-moving grass fires west of the dryline. High temperatures will be above average across most of Texas this weekend. For example, temperatures on Easter Sunday will top out in the 80s and 90s. Laredo to Eagle Pass will be dangerously close to 100 degrees on Sunday.Easter Sunday will feature warm to hot temperatures across Texas. Afternoon temperatures will range from the lower 80s all the way up into the middle 90s. Gusty south winds up to 40 MPH are likely, and the eastern half of Texas will become increasingly humid.

Dewpoint temperatures up into the 60s will bring a more muggy feel to the air for the eastern half of Texas on Sunday and Monday. That increasingly moisture-rich airmass will help set the stage for a potentially busy Monday in the thunderstorm department.

Severe Thunderstorm Setup on April Fools (Monday)

Scattered severe thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon into Monday night across Texoma, North Texas, Central Texas, the Ark-La-Tex, and Northeast Texas. The risk area and specific threats will be refined as we get into the weekend. Monday has the potential to be a busy weather day.

Severe thunderstorms are possible Monday afternoon into Monday night across Texoma, North Texas, Central Texas, the Ark-La-Tex, and Northeast Texas. A positively-tilted shortwave (fancy meteorological mumbo-jumbo for a type of upper-level storm system) will help erode a lid (cap) on the atmosphere east of a surface dryline by late Monday afternoon.

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Scattered thunderstorms, probably severe, are expected to develop either during the late afternoon or later in the evening when a cool front arrives. There is plenty of moisture, which we lacked yesterday and this past Sunday, and that upper-level lift (wind shear) should promote a severe thunderstorm threat. We’re too far out to get into the nitty-gritty of specific severe weather hazards, but it’s always a good idea to be prepared.

The strongest storms may produce large hail, damaging winds, and potentially some tornado threat. Again, we’ll dive deeper into the specific threat levels once we’re into the weekend. Don’t get locked in on any lines on a risk map at this range. Things will change, and depending on the eventual culmination of ingredients, the storm threat could expand farther south into Texas or lift north.

Crashy the Cold Front After the Storms

A decent cool front will arrive behind Monday’s system, knocking temperatures back down toward or a bit below historical averages for early April. That’s a good thing, too, because it will be 103 to 105 degrees Monday afternoon around Laredo to Eagle Pass. The wildfire threat will remain high across the western half of Texas on Monday, with gusty winds statewide.

My FREE & AWESOME weather app for radar/alerts/more: https://texasweather.app/
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David Reimer

31 Comments

  1. Stephanie Williams

    Happy Easter to all of you!

  2. Brianne Dee

    I’ll be egg-cited when those temps stay. Happy Easter!

  3. Branhan Lowther

    Gifting 5 grands to the first five people to hit me up “GOD DID” I LOVE YALL STAY BLESSED

  4. Kathy Wharton Rosenberger

    Happy Easter!!!

  5. Sophia Ibarra

    I love the special guest at the end 😂

  6. Karli Wills

    Figures. I bought a denim jacket to wear 😐

  7. Machell Embry Oviedo

    I’m not complaining about the rain… but I need the fields to dry out for a week or 2

  8. Machell Embry Oviedo

    I’m not complaining about the rain… but I need the fields to dry out for a week or 2

  9. Samantha Belmontes

    Hopefully no Spinny Spinny Doom Doom

  10. Samantha Belmontes

    Hopefully no Spinny Spinny Doom Doom

  11. Daina Blay

    Even though the storms aren’t good here but is cool 😎

  12. Daina Blay

    Even though the storms aren’t good here but is cool 😎

  13. Sophia Potter-Gellman

    Yes! Please water all the new trees I planted!

  14. Sophia Potter-Gellman

    Yes! Please water all the new trees I planted!

  15. Diane Barbara Bianconi

    Happy Easter

  16. Diane Barbara Bianconi

    Happy Easter

  17. Micha Turner

    Very informative

    • Texas Storm Chasers

      Micha Turner Thank you

  18. Micha Turner

    Very informative

  19. Dee Ortega

    Who cares sleep through it alot are off thank God

  20. Terrie Fenton

    Informative and entertaining

  21. Amelia Amelia

    Mickey Foss Terrie Fenton Dee Ortega Danny Saenz Micha Turner Diane Barbara Bianconi Sophia Potter-Gellman Daina Blay Samantha Belmontes Machell Embry Oviedo Don Grey Karli Wills Stephanie Williams Brianne Dee Kathy Wharton Rosenberger Sophia Ibarra
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  22. Sisyphus Bradford

    Aquifer need 💦.

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