No weather is good weather? Well we could definitely use some rain to quell fire concerns. That won’t happen today but at least the weather will be nice. High temperatures this afternoon will be well above average once again. The warmest locations across the Hill Country into the Rio Grande Valley will peak in the middle 80s this afternoon. We should be in the upper 50s to low 60s this time of year. While not nearly as warm further north temperatures will still be well above-average for where we should be on February 11. Skies will remain clear across all of the state today and tonight. Minimum relative humidity values will drop below 20-30 percent this afternoon statewide. Winds above 10 MPH will promote near-critical fire danger across South-Central Texas, Deep South Texas, and into the Rio Grande Valley this afternoon.
Increasing moisture along the coast, into the Rio Grande Valley, and Southeast Texas will help keep temperatures warmer tonight with mid 50s expected. We expect temperatures to drop off into the upper 20s to lower 30s across the Texas Panhandle, South Plains, and into the Permian Basin tonight. By the time you get into the Big Country, Concho Valley, and Northwest Texas temperatures will be in the middle to upper 30s. North Texas will vary from the upper 30s to middle 40s and Central/South-Central Texas will be in the upper 40s to around 50 degrees by sunrise Friday. Skies will remain clear but fog could become an issue along the coast and adjacent points inland due to the increasing moisture levels.
Our next chance for precipitation finally looks to arrive Sunday evening into Monday – mainly along and east of Interstate 35. Rainfall totals could average between a tenth of an inch and three quarter of an inch across Northeast Texas and East Texas. As we get closer to the weekend we’ll be able to provide a more refined forecast. Severe weather is unlikely at this time.