The threat of severe weather, with severe storms and crashy the cold front, will make for an active couple of days across Texas. A non-zero threat for a severe storm is possible in East Texas late this morning and early this afternoon. Numerous showers and storms are expected in East Texas this morning into the early afternoon hours, but we’re hoping a lid on the atmosphere will keep all of those showers behaved. However, it looks likely that we’ll have to wait until 3-5PM for our first severe storms of the day to fire up in parts of Texoma and North Texas.

Those initial storms could be severe, with damaging hail, localized strong winds, and perhaps a couple of tornadoes. Individual storms will move east/northeast around 35 to 50 MPH. Around dinner time, we’ll likely see a line of storms fire up along a southward-moving cold front from Southeast Oklahoma southwest into North Texas and the Concho Valley. Some storms in the squall line will be strong to severe with pocket-change size hail, localized damaging winds, and perhaps a brief tornado. The squall line will move southeast this evening and overnight with the cold front, reaching the Texas Coast by 4-5AM.

Much cooler temperatures will invade Texas for the upcoming weekend and early next week. With an active upper-level weather pattern continuing, more rain is expected on Friday and Saturday across the southern half of Texas. Temperatures may be cold enough for some wet snow to mix in across Southwest Texas, the northern Edwards Plateau, and Hill Country by Saturday morning. We’re not expecting a high-impact winter storm, but some minor accumulations are possible in the higher terrain of Southwest Texas around Alpine.

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