Spring weather is rapidly returning to Texas, but we’ve already got our next cold front on our metaphorical radar. Daily high temperatures across the state will typically top out in the 60s and 70s through Friday. Thanks to residual snow cover, we’ll be a bit cooler in the Panhandle today, but that’ll dissipate faster than my hairline. Sunday’s wet snow left quite a bit of moisture for the Panhandle, West Texas, and Northwest Texas to absorb. We can be thankful for that!

Dry weather is expected statewide today and on Wednesday. That changes on Thursday as rain chances increase across the Rio Grande Valley, Rio Grande Plains, South Texas, the Edwards Plateau, Coastal Bend, Coastal Plains, and Southeast Texas. Severe thunderstorms don’t look likely with lackluster thermodynamics (instability). Moisture, on the other hand, is looking decent. Rain chances will continue throughout Thursday and Friday and conclude Saturday morning. Forecast rain totals are expected to range between one-quarter inch and two inches. A bit of minor flooding may occur in South Texas.

A cold front will push south into Texas on Friday and Saturday. It’ll be a dry front, but gusty north winds are likely with a tight pressure gradient. Temperatures will get knocked down toward February averages for the weekend. A freeze is possible across the northern half of Texas on Saturday and Sunday mornings. While it will be pretty chilly on Saturday, we’re not looking at any arctic outbreak mischief. Temperatures by Sunday afternoon will be back into the 60s across the western/southern half of Texas. Above-average temperatures and dry weather look likely for most of the upcoming work week.

One interesting tidbit for next week is that weather models are opening up the Gulf of Mexico for moisture return. Warm temperatures and several days of south/southeasterly winds may pump higher dewpoint temperatures (moisture) into the state. Without a cold front for several days next week, that may eventually set the stage for the dryline to become a thing again late next week. Perhaps setting the stage for some stormy mischief whenever we eventually get to our next upper-level storm system? Just something I found interesting and something we’ll be watching for. I doubt we’re done with winter just yet, though.

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