Mother Nature is not letting up along the coast this week with additional rain expected to develop by tomorrow morning along the southeast Texas coast.  I’m sorry you folks are getting “picked on”…just know that the rest of us would gladly take some of your rain if we could!  Elsewhere…dry as a popcorn toot with slim to nil chances until we get into next week as an upper level high expands over us into the weekend.  The updated Drought Monitor will come out tomorrow, and I expect we’ll set additional drought impacts spreading further across north and central Texas.

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For tonight, calm and seasonal with lows in the mid 70s expected across most of the state.  Western Texas will once again enjoy lows dipping down into the mid 60s.  Highs tomorrow, in the mid 90s with lots of sunshine.

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We still have our tiny upper level low spinning off the central coast of Texas.  You can see it spinning counterclockwise on the animated water vapor image below. (It’s a large image and may take a few seconds to load depending on your internet speed.)  We’re expecting the lull in rain to continue until we get into the morning hours when pop up showers and storms are expected to redevelop along the southeast coast in and around Galveston.  A few additional storms will likely form inland as the day progresses.

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Looking ahead…really not seeing any large-scale changes in our current weather pattern until we get into next week.  Current long-range weather models are showing a deepening trough swinging across the Pacific Northwest and through the northern and central Plains.  This will flatten out our high and push it west by the end of next week.  Once the high shifts west, that will open the door for a potential cold front to drop down out of the midwest later next week into the panhandle…and maybe north Texas if it doesn’t stall out. It’s too far out to be certain, but this could be signs that our first strong cold front of the season is not too far off in the distance!  Another benefit of the high shifting west is that we’ll  be in more of a northwest flow pattern aloft which typically helps to usher rain systems…and fronts…into the state. Climatologically, the timing would be about right, so we’ll continue to watch the forecast models for consistency in this potential pattern change!

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