Our focus this afternoon for the possibility of a few strong to marginally severe storms will be across the eastern Texas Panhandle into the South Plains. At 4:15 PM we were monitoring an area of towering cumulus clouds that were just west of the dryline. This boundary extends roughly along a Perryton-Panhandle-Tulia-Littlefield line. There are already a few showers and storms popping up. Moisture is limited with dewpoints in the 40s which has kept instability values on the low side. However with ample wind shear in place we could see a few high-based severe storms over the next few hours. The tornado threat is very low because of limited moisture, weak low level wind shear, and high cloud bases. The threat for localized but damaging wind gusts is the main threat with large hail also a possibility. Overall the severe weather threat today is marginal and limited and will diminish after sunset.

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