Foggy, drizzly and overcast tonight across a large portion of the state. Some additional Dense Fog Advisories have been issued for much of north Texas since David’s last update about an hour ago. Visibilities between 1/2 and 1/4 miles is expected by morning, so plan accordingly as you head out the door to work or school tomorrow.
In addition to the threat for fog, light rain and drizzle will continue tonight and into tomorrow morning for just about the entire state. Tomorrow is destined to be one of those mornings you really won’t want to get out of bed.
Temps will be warmer tonight and tomorrow than what we’ve seen the past several days, but continuous cloud cover into tomorrow will keep highs tomorrow afternoon somewhat in check. A few areas may reach the low 70s…mainly across west central Texas, coastal areas and down into the Rio Grande Valley…but most will see highs tomorrow ranging from the upper 50s to mid 60s.
Tuesday evening, we could see some thunderstorms develop across west Texas moving east during the overnight hours into Wednesday morning. Significant severe weather is not expected, but don’t be surprised to hear a few boomers while you sleep!
Today’s forecast models have not done much to boost confidence about our next winter weather event. At this point, we know a strong cold front will arrive by late Tuesday into early Wednesday. We are expecting snow across parts of the panhandle, west/west central Texas, and there is the possibility of seeing a mix of snow/sleet and freezing rain across parts of north and central Texas. What’s of concern now is the timing of the front, the strength of the upper level disturbance which will arrive on the heels of the front, and how quickly moisture will be pushed south once the deeper cold air arrives. If the front lags, there will be insufficient cold air to produce much in the way of winter weather for north and central Texas. If the front arrives faster than current forecast and the upper level disturbance is stronger and carries more moisture with it, we may see some higher impacts. At this time, we don’t think this next system will carry the same impacts as we saw last Friday across north central Texas, but that’s not a guarantee. For parts of the panhandle and west central Texas, confidence is higher that we’ll see a wintry mix beginning by early to mid-day on Wednesday. Model data continues to roll in this evening, and David will have an update out later this evening so be on the lookout for that!