A tropical blob is on its way to Texas, bringing significant rain, gusty winds, and the potential for coastal flooding. For some, the rain will replenish dried lakebeds. For others, it may lead to flooding. However, the cloud cover will provide a respite from our late spring heat for nearly everyone. Rest assured, we closely monitor this system and will provide you with the most up-to-date information.
The National Hurricane Center gives our tropical blob a high chance of evolving into a tropical depression or storm over the next few days. Whatever the system is eventually named will have little impact on our forecast. Rain, some of which will be heavy, and gusty winds will be our primary impacts. For the Texas Gulf Coast, several days of gusty on-shore winds will result in the potential for flooding during high tide.
A potent sea breeze will push well inland this afternoon, making a run at the D/FW Metroplex to Texarkana by dinner time. Isolated to scattered popup showers and storms are possible near and south of the sea breeze today. Gusty winds, brief heavy rain, and a nice temperature drop can be expected if you end up under a popup storm. That activity will decrease after sunset. We may also see a few storms in the Big Bend and Davis Mountains this afternoon – with hail and strong winds.
Another round of popup storms is expected in the eastern third of Texas on Tuesday. Unlike today, rain chances will increase tomorrow evening to Wednesday morning across the Texas Gulf Coast, Golden Triangle, Southeast Texas, and Coastal Plains. Rainfall will become heavier tomorrow night, with the threat of flash flooding along the coast, Southeast Texas, and the Golden Triangle. The heaviest rains may set up in the Coastal Plains and in areas just west and south of Houston, but that’s getting nitpicky at this time range.
Forecast Rain Totals
Determining where the heaviest axis of rain sets up for tomorrow night through Thursday will depend on the track of our storm system. The track has already shifted a bit further south compared to yesterday, but that benefits South Texas, Central Texas, Hill Country, and Edwards Plateau because they need the rain. The northern edge of the rain may have a sharp cutoff, resulting in some folks getting several inches of rain, while those fifty miles north may see sprinkles. I expect we will continue to refine this throughout the day and into Tuesday.
Nitty-Gritty on who may get the most rain
Rain chances will be highest on Wednesday and Thursday across Central Texas, Hill Country, South Texas, Edwards Plateau, Concho Valley, Permian Basin, and eastern Big Bend. This system will be moving from east to west, so the rain will also be. At least, activity will slowly move from east to west. Flash flooding will remain probable where the heaviest rains fall.
Under the heaviest activity, hourly rainfall rates may exceed three inches. Since this system will be moving slowly, we may see those excessive hourly rainfall rates continue in some locations for an extended period. That’s where the highest risk of impactful flash flooding will occur. We’ll work to narrow down the most probable axis of heaviest rains over the next day, but urban locations will be under even higher risk.
Extended Range Weather Forecast
Rain chances will push into the Panhandle, West Texas, and perhaps the Trans-Pecos Thursday Night and Friday. While widespread rains will end across the eastern half of Texas by Thursday, abundant tropical moisture will remain. Popup showers and storms will probably continue along the Texas Gulf Coast and adjacent inland regions through the weekend.
Helpful Links
Check out our current LIVE STREAM: https://texasweather.video/
Our FREE WEATHER APP: https://texasweather.app/
Our WEBSITE/RADAR: https://texasstormchasers.com/radar
Our SOCIAL PLATFORMS: https://linktr.ee/texasstormchasers
Good Morning everyone 😊
Since I live in Richmond, I’ll give updates on this.
Amy Buenzow Perez ok
Since I live in Richmond, I’ll give updates on this.
Amy Buenzow Perez ok
First I’ve ever heard of a tropical blob. 🤔
Monica Brooke same here!
Monica Brooke wait until you hear about spinny spinny doom dooms.
Monica Brooke Texan for a large DEW
First I’ve ever heard of a tropical blob. 🤔
Monica Brooke same here!
Monica Brooke wait until you hear about spinny spinny doom dooms.
Monica Brooke Texan for a large DEW
Can’t wait. I hope it’s even a tiny bit true!
Vanessa Jones Perkins exactly. All this build up, it better be true.
Can’t wait. I hope it’s even a tiny bit true!
Vanessa Jones Perkins exactly. All this build up, it better be true.
Booooo
Booooo
Texas Storm Chasers – have y’all adjusted it a bit further south since yesterday?
Texas Storm Chasers – have y’all adjusted it a bit further south since yesterday?
Please be right about this
Paul Humphries they typically are
Please be right about this
Paul Humphries they typically are
Medina Lake needs rain, awfully bad.
Paul Humphries Medina pothole
Paul Humphries Canyon and Medina need a 10-20” rain on the incoming river systems. Sorry about the flooding but we need the lakes full.
Medina Lake needs rain, awfully bad.
Paul Humphries Medina pothole
Paul Humphries Canyon and Medina need a 10-20” rain on the incoming river systems. Sorry about the flooding but we need the lakes full.
Let me know when a hurricane’s headed this way… Tropical storms or blobs don’t do much of nothing for us here in Central Texas…
Let me know when a hurricane’s headed this way… Tropical storms or blobs don’t do much of nothing for us here in Central Texas…
Temple already getting rain
Temple already getting rain
Need more rain up here.
Need more rain up here.
Finished raising the floor of my chicken run yesterday, I’m ready 😆
Finished raising the floor of my chicken run yesterday, I’m ready 😆
Thank you!! Following closely!! We are in Junction Texas on vacation at the south llano. Waiting to see if there is a chance for the river to rise! Thank you for your coverage!
Michelle Strange Rodgers hi
Michelle Strange Rodgers Oh how perfect! Love that area.
Thank you!! Following closely!! We are in Junction Texas on vacation at the south llano. Waiting to see if there is a chance for the river to rise! Thank you for your coverage!
Michelle Strange Rodgers hi
Michelle Strange Rodgers Oh how perfect! Love that area.
What is a tropical blob
Kristy a storm system not really organized enough to be a tropical depression or storm, but bad enough to ruin the vacation I’ve been planning and saving for for months. We had to cancel our plans entirely, now we’re staying home.
Jessica Gorman 😕 im so sorry to hear that Love.
What is a tropical blob
Kristy a storm system not really organized enough to be a tropical depression or storm, but bad enough to ruin the vacation I’ve been planning and saving for for months. We had to cancel our plans entirely, now we’re staying home.
Jessica Gorman 😕 im so sorry to hear that Love.
Blob… really? 🙄
Blob… really? 🙄
Tropical weather system… 🤦♀️
Jenny Claeys yeah
Tropical weather system… 🤦♀️
Jenny Claeys yeah
Thank u Lord for the rain.
Thank u Lord for the rain.
Danny Ayoub
Danny Ayoub
I’m watching the weather last night, gonna get wet
I’m watching the weather last night, gonna get wet
Bring it on, Lake Buchanan and Lake Travis need a big ole drink of water!
Bring it on, Lake Buchanan and Lake Travis need a big ole drink of water!
Praying it comes.and sits on the Hill County and we get the dumping of rain. Stop the drought and fill the Highland lakes.
Praying it comes.and sits on the Hill County and we get the dumping of rain. Stop the drought and fill the Highland lakes.
Harvey’s return
Harvey’s return
Much less each time it updates
Much less each time it updates
Cmon to the RGV we need it bad!
Cmon to the RGV we need it bad!
Would that be Newman’s brother?
Would that be Newman’s brother?
Kimberly Kay Cassat
Kimberly Kay Cassat
Marcus Phillips Michelle Phillips Rusty Phillips Megan N Jake Mcmanus
Marcus Phillips Michelle Phillips Rusty Phillips Megan N Jake Mcmanus
So if I’m reading that correctly then between 10″-12″ for me.
So if I’m reading that correctly then between 10″-12″ for me.
Siera Grisham Bennett Blake Bilbrey
Siera Grisham Bennett Blake Bilbrey
Just sitting here waiting for blobby.
Me and Blobby McGhee.
Just sitting here waiting for blobby.
Me and Blobby McGhee.
We just got the field dried out and starting the process of replacing the roof on the house and repairing the stable. Don’t need more flooding rain.
We just got the field dried out and starting the process of replacing the roof on the house and repairing the stable. Don’t need more flooding rain.
Henry Wood
Henry Wood
When is the bad storm headed to valley? Travel so trying to make plans
When is the bad storm headed to valley? Travel so trying to make plans
I have ZERO doubts it’ll be named Alberto before the end of the day. It’ll also unfortunately 100% be another devastating flooding event for the area I live in (Liberty County in SE Texas).
The Trinity was/is already too high from the last devastating flood some of this area JUST endured to their homes/businesses.
The timing of this disturbance is just awful. 😔 My heart goes out to all of the folks out here who are about to go through it all over again with this disturbance.
It’s already been predicted that the Trinity will once again reach MAJOR flood levels out here.
Y’all stay safe out there! ✌🏼
Yeah, REAL funny, isn’t it Dee Ortega? 🥴
Not exactly. 🙄🤦🏻♂️
Nick Baragas it’s seems alright outside this morning. The percentage of rain dropped to 15 percent
Jeremiah A Byrns Only Time Will tell. As long as it doesn’t strengthen more than anticipated AND makes the hard turn to the West as models are predicting, then we MIGHT be okay, but weather will do its thing. 🤷🏻♂️
I’m also concerned about what models are showing for NEXT weekend. Another potential storm to develop in the Gulf behind this one.
It’s definitely going to be a BUSY season. 😬
I have ZERO doubts it’ll be named Alberto before the end of the day. It’ll also unfortunately 100% be another devastating flooding event for the area I live in (Liberty County in SE Texas).
The Trinity was/is already too high from the last devastating flood some of this area JUST endured to their homes/businesses.
The timing of this disturbance is just awful. 😔 My heart goes out to all of the folks out here who are about to go through it all over again with this disturbance.
It’s already been predicted that the Trinity will once again reach MAJOR flood levels out here.
Y’all stay safe out there! ✌🏼
Brittany Mays John Smith
Sherry Nobis 🤦♂️
John Smith gonna be an interesting trip lol
Sherry Nobis oml great 😊
Brittany Mays John Smith
Sherry Nobis 🤦♂️
Hopefully it comes to Odessa area!!!
Hopefully it comes to Odessa area!!!
Looking like the part of our State that needs rain the most, is finally going to get some.
Looking like the part of our State that needs rain the most, is finally going to get some.
Keep using the word, blob 🤦♀️.
Keep using the word, blob 🤦♀️.
This accurate, my boy Lee Salinas carries around 9” and he’s down in Corpus Christi
This accurate, my boy Lee Salinas carries around 9” and he’s down in Corpus Christi
Ran out of names so they went with blob?
Ran out of names so they went with blob?
Anthony Landau
Jackie Landau we shall see 👀
Anthony Landau
Jackie Landau we shall see 👀
Thanks for the updates! Very humid and cloudy 🌥️ in Denton today at 80 degrees!⛅️🌬️🌥️🐶☕️☕️🇺🇸💕🦎🌸
Thanks for the updates! Very humid and cloudy 🌥️ in Denton today at 80 degrees!⛅️🌬️🌥️🐶☕️☕️🇺🇸💕🦎🌸
Think it’ll clear out by this upcoming Sunday? Planning to go to South Padre Island 🙂
Think it’ll clear out by this upcoming Sunday? Planning to go to South Padre Island 🙂
Oh
Oh
Holy Moly. Hunting Franks , Ashtyn Franks
Holy Moly. Hunting Franks , Ashtyn Franks
Hill country needs rain but I feel bad for the folks who have already had too much.
Hill country needs rain but I feel bad for the folks who have already had too much.
Daryl Shipper
Daryl Shipper
Kathrine Lacy Henderson-Turpin
Paul R Soto yeah hopefully it won’t be too bad here
Kathrine Lacy Henderson-Turpin prayers.
Kathrine Lacy Henderson-Turpin
Paul R Soto yeah hopefully it won’t be too bad here
Kathrine Lacy Henderson-Turpin prayers.
Blob???
Blob???
Jonathan Ross
Jonathan Ross
Stacy Woods
Stacy Woods
Kayla Marie
Kayla Marie
Let’s see if it can scare away the dome over the Schertz/Cibolo area and actually rain on us.
Let’s see if it can scare away the dome over the Schertz/Cibolo area and actually rain on us.
Need a flood west of I-35
Need a flood west of I-35
Rick Ross , Rick Hinojosa
Rick Ross , Rick Hinojosa
🙂
🙂
Sherri Schaefer Mangum this is what we are seeing.
Sherri Schaefer Mangum this is what we are seeing.
I misread. I thought a storm named Bob 😅. Not sure what a blob is. Ok just so it don’t eat people
I misread. I thought a storm named Bob 😅. Not sure what a blob is. Ok just so it don’t eat people
I love the name “blob”….🤣 Please give us rain in central Tx. Our lakes are counting on it. 😢
I love the name “blob”….🤣 Please give us rain in central Tx. Our lakes are counting on it. 😢
Kendra Irby Holly Stull Mike Hobbs Shalayne Mayfield
Kendra Irby Holly Stull Mike Hobbs Shalayne Mayfield
Yes!
Yes!
Malaney Shrum
Malaney Shrum
Awesome 😎 I’m a Charcuterie for the Mosquitoes from the last storms.
Awesome 😎 I’m a Charcuterie for the Mosquitoes from the last storms.
Bring It On!!!!!!
Bring It On!!!!!!
Update on this
Update on this
please and thank you!
please and thank you!
There was supposed to be a seminar at White Oak library a couple weeks ago. Power was out and I tried calling. But was wondering if it will be rescheduled. My grandson (8) wants to be a meteorologist. I was going to take him. Can you let me know? Thanks
There was supposed to be a seminar at White Oak library a couple weeks ago. Power was out and I tried calling. But was wondering if it will be rescheduled. My grandson (8) wants to be a meteorologist. I was going to take him. Can you let me know? Thanks
Vanessa Lopez
Kelsey Lopez major booboo