In addition to dealing with summertime heat and humidity this weekend, we do have a few areas that we’ll be monitoring today for the threat of severe weather. The Storm Prediction Center has outlined a portion of the eastern Texas panhandle with Slight (Level 2) and Enhanced (Level 3) Risks for severe storms later this afternoon and into the evening hours. Very large hail, damaging winds and an isolated tornado threat will exist, especially within any of the stronger storms that develop before congealing into a squall line after dark. Current thinking is that we’ll see rapid development of storms anytime after 4pm this afternoon east of a stalled frontal boundary currently stretched northeast to southwest along the I-60 corridor from Canadian down to Hereford. This front may retreat a bit today so precise location of storm initiation is a bit unclear at the moment. Regardless, at least isolated to scattered development is expected from the eastern panhandle down into the rolling plains along or just off the caprock by late this afternoon. Large to very large hail is likely. Flooding will also be likely as the storms mature and begin to congeal into clusters or lines. A few weak tornadoes are also possible. Folks in the eastern panhandle region and far western north Texas will need to keep an eye on conditions later today and have a way to receive weather notifications as storms begin to develop.
Further to the east across north central Texas, we’ll also be monitoring for the threat of scattered pop-up showers and storms during the afternoon and evening hours. A small disturbance remnant from storms last night across central and southwest Texas may work its way north this afternoon generating chances for some storm development. Storms this afternoon will carry a threat of downburst winds and small hail. Overnight, storms that develop across northern Oklahoma may make their way into north Texas…including the DFW area…in the form of a squall line which will bring chances for damaging wind gusts and heavy rainfall. While this scenario is a bit unclear at the moment, it will be something to keep an eye on from about 10-11pm onward.