It remains a rather loud night across portions of southern North Texas, Central Texas, eastward into East Texas. We have a large rain-shield producing light to moderate rain across much of Northeast Texas and portions of East Texas north of the squall line. At the time of this posting, we do not have any severe weather warnings in effect. Excluding the summer-appropriate lightning show ongoing with storms, we have not had any issues with hail or damaging winds in a few hours. A severe thunderstorm watch does remain in place for southern North Texas and the Brazos Valley until 4 AM. At this juncture, we cannot rule out an isolated severe wind gust with storms, but the main focus is on the threat for isolated flash flooding.
Thunderstorms extend from San Saba to Waco to Buffalo to Alto to San Augustine. The strongest thunderstorms are those in the eastern Hill Country into southern North Texas. An example of the strongest storms is those from just north of Lampasas to Pidcoke to McGregor to Waco. Those storms may have localized wind gusts of 30 to 40 MPH, very heavy rainfall, and an extremely high number of cloud to ground lightning strikes. We are going to have to watch for some threat of flooding this morning. These storms aren’t moving particularly quickly and they are producing quite a bit of heavy rainfall.
Thunderstorms will likely continue to make their way south/southeast through the next several hours. That’ll bring them into the Brazos Valley and more of East Texas by 4 AM. Again, I can’t rule out some localized wind gusts over 50 MPH or even small hail. However, the primary hazard should be some isolated flooding, but a severe thunderstorm watch does remain in place through 4 AM. If anything were to get up toward the ‘severe’ category it would likely be the storms from Gatesville to just west of Waco. We’ll keep burning the midnight oil and ensuring our lack of sleep keeps storms from getting too rowdy.