Tis the season for roller coaster temps across the state as we get into that part of the year when cold fronts begin to make regularly scheduled appearances every week or so. Our forecast highs both today and tomorrow for much of the state will be well above normal for this time of the year, but by Sunday, our next cold front will come galloping through the state and we’ll cool down as he head into the next work week. We will also have a chance for rain and showers ahead of the front as it arrives, but thankfully, no widespread severe weather is expected.
Rain chances increase later today and tonight across the panhandle region as lift from an approaching upper level low to the northwest skirts the region and a weak cold front moving into the region right now retreats back to the north. The Storm Prediction Center has placed a Marginal Risk (Level 1) for a couple of strong to severe storms across the northern panhandle region for these storms expected later this evening and tonight. Isolated episodes of 1 inch hail and frequent lightning will be the main threats with the late evening and overnight activity. Most of the energy from this next upper level low will remain to our north this time around, so the main threats for severe weather Saturday with the cold front will remain northeast of the region. By Saturday night, the front will be blasting south with storms developing along and ahead of the front from the panhandle up into Oklahoma, Kansas and Missouri. The front is expected to outrun most of the upper level energy supporting storm development across Texas, so as the front and associated rain moves south into the state, it will actually be weakening. In other words, don’t expect much more than a quick line of showers and some thunder. Here’s a look at how the radar may shape up between now and Sunday morning. As always, keep in mind this is just a forecast model…not live radar. But it will give you a decent idea of how rainfall conditions will shape up today through early Sunday. After the front moves through, we’ll have several days of much more pleasant and fall-like weather before we begin to heat back up again, so enjoy it while it lasts!