Severe Weather Outlook updated at 8 AM

There will be two ’rounds’ of storms today. The first round is already starting up across North Texas and will move east into Northeast Texas by late morning. Additional storms will are expected to develop by late morning into the early afternoon hours across the Brazos Valley and Southeast Texas. Those storms will move east into East Texas and Southeast Texas this afternoon. The strongest of those storms may produce very large hail and localized damaging wind gusts. A couple tornadoes are also possible. Storm mode will likely remain more cellular and discrete. Those discrete cells make narrowing down a specific time frame more difficult. Storms will be possible across Northeast Texas, East Texas, and Southeast Texas from about lunch time through the evening hours. The strongest storms will likely be severe as they move east/northeast. The second area of concern will develop by early this afternoon across Texoma and North Texas. Residual outflow boundaries may allow a few severe storms to develop near Highway 82 and the Red River across North Texas by early afternoon. Should those storms develop they would move east/southeast into Northeast Texas by the early evening. Those cells would be capable of producing very large hail, localized damaging wind gusts, and could pose a low-end tornado threat. Mesoscale (localized) factors today like outflow boundaries could locally enhance low-level wind shear. Those situations would potentially cause local enhancement of tornado potential with the strongest storms today. By far the main threat will be very large hail – some of which could approach the size of tennis balls. Isolated tornadoes are a threat as well. Its spring in Texas so this is to be expected. Keep an eye to the sky and have multiple ways of receiving severe weather warnings today. Follow your local National Weather Service office at weather.gov and on social media. Timing aspects may not evolve as depicted here but we do expect a fairly active severe weather day.

Explanation of severe weather risk scale

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