Discussion – 

48

Discussion – 

48

Rambunctious Texas Storms Likely This Afternoon and Evening

Scattered thunderstorms will likely make for a rough day in the weather department across parts of Texas. Unlike yesterday where most storms held off until after dinner-time, we’ll get an earlier start by the early afternoon hours in North Texas. Initial thunderstorms may develop in western North Texas, and move east into the D/FW Metroplex by the late afternoon rush hour. Supercell storms are likely, with the strongest capable of producing softball size hail, damaging to hurricane-force wind gusts, and perhaps a tornado.

Scattered to several severe thunderstorms are expected this afternoon and evening in the eastern Concho Valley, eastern Big Country, Texoma, North Texas, Northeast Texas, Ark-La-Tex, East Texas, Southeast Texas, Brazos Valley, Central Texas, and Hill Country. Storms will likely first develop in northern portions of the risk area, and move south this evening.

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There may be multiple storms with an extremely unstable airmass in place (why do you think it feels like the Gulf of Mexico?). Storms will likely start moving southeast late this afternoon or evening, with storms either developing or moving into parts of the Ark-La-Tex, Northeast Texas, Central Texas, Hill Country, Brazos Valley, Southeast Texas, and East Texas. If storms get going early enough this afternoon, we may be winding down by midnight.

Storm Expectations This Evening into early Friday

Otherwise, some storms may continue into the pre-dawn hours on Friday. After a few hours of semi-discrete supercells, storms will probably grow upscale into one or more clusters. Once we have storm clusters, they’ll accelerate southeastward into the regions mentioned above. Wind-driven damaging hail and localized hurricane-force wind gusts over 80 MPH will become a serious concern. We can’t rule out a tornado. High-precipitation supercells may produce very localized heavy rainfall. We’ll calm down late tonight once storms move off the Texas Gulf Coast or into Louisiana.

Friday through Sunday

Friday is expected to bring much-needed relief from the hot weather across Texas as a cold front continues its southward progress. Temperatures and dewpoint values will be lower north of the front, offering a respite from the intense early-summer heat. We anticipate this relief to extend further south into Saturday.

Heavy rain will return to Texas this weekend into early next week. One to three inches of rain, with localized amounts up to five inches, may fall in North Texas, Central Texas, Northeast Texas, East Texas, Southeast Texas, and the Brazos Valley. Flooding is going to be a concern on Sunday and Monday in Southeast Texas. One-half to one inch of rain is possible across the Panhandle, West Texas, Northwest Texas, Big Country, Concho Valley, and Hill Country through early next week.

Rain chances are set to increase on Saturday across the western half of Texas. The overall severe thunderstorm threat appears to be low. However, Sunday and Monday may bring scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms across the eastern half of Texas. Again, the severe weather risk looks low, but heavy rainfall may become an issue, potentially leading to a flooding threat in East and Southeast Texas. A warmup is on the horizon starting Sunday and next week. Appreciate what may be the last cold front until this fall across the southern half of Texas.

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David Reimer

48 Comments

  1. Heather Gray

    I feel like that arrow is pointing at me 🤣 I’m in Killeen

  2. Jest Ling

    Christine Baird not sure if this is around ur area.

    • Christine Baird

      Jest Ling yep. Right above Killeen

  3. Debbie Galardo Bender

    DFW?? Time??

    • Zayra Mathieu

      Debbie Galardo Bender watch the video lol.

  4. Klaasje Dugosh

    Dustin Dugosh Ashley Grady

  5. Nang Trinh

    I’m thrilled to announce that I’ve won the lottery, and I want to use this opportunity to help those in need. I’m looking for ways to make a positive impact actually made a promise to God to help the needy, DM me if you need any help.

  6. Kailey Davis Smith

    Greg Story Dustin Smith Deidra Chapman Davis

  7. Valerie Nicole

    Elizabeth Manuel Valdes

  8. Jimmy N Miranda Gore

    Tina Basham- Walker

  9. Rachel Umbra Smith

    Susan Harrell 😑

  10. Holly Scott Blackwood

    Craig Blackwood
    Vedenia Rene Cochran

  11. Courtney Lynne

    Cole Kistler Allmon

  12. Dan Caito Pisa

    Quite in San Antonio and south Texas as always

  13. Donna Fo Fonna

    Could we not? 😞

  14. Katia Donowho Banfield

    Monica Banfield Drew😓

  15. Joan Fisher Michael

    How is the drive to Lubbock from San Antonio this afternoon?

    • Vanessa Jones Perkins

      Joan Fisher Michael boring has been my experience

    • Joan Fisher Michael

      Vanessa Jones Perkins Fact, lol😂
      This is my last one!!🎓❤️🖤

  16. Jessica Harvey

    Courtney Garrison

  17. Tammy Gatlin

    Heading to college station from Ft Worth to bring my college girl home today 🥴

  18. Lauren Kelley

    Melissa Kelley here we go again😑

    • Melissa Kelley

      Lauren Kelley oh Geesh 🤦🏻‍♀️

  19. Samuel Taylor

    Angie Gomez Ortiz Linda Gomez

  20. Kim Lawdermilk Wagner

    Should I get in the bunker now? Lol

  21. Wolfgang Emilia

    I am single, I’m here for good seriously relationship 💗💖💕💓💙💙💙💙💘💘💘💘💘

  22. Tanya Minnick

    Aimee Simms Bachura Tom Sigler

  23. Patricia Moore Zgabay

    Praying we get rain in SA area. We’ve missed out on the last two “events”.

  24. Judy Kaska

    Warm and muggy in Waco. Some of us still remember the stories our parents told us of the 1953 tornado in Waco on May 11. Has a jittery here.

  25. Sophia Potter-Gellman

    So humid Ft Hood area. We’re full on water now. Lampasas and Pidcoke bridges flooded. Cattle washed away to stillhouse lake.

  26. Jennifer Sanders

    Thanks David. So glad I found your channel. I am about 20 miles SW of San Antonio. 👍🏼

  27. Teresa Parrish

    I’m in the orange. I don’t like orange. ☹️

  28. NatalieandMark Haines

    Stay away from San Angelo please.

  29. Teague Memoria

    I just got code red for tornado warning in gatesville

  30. Bryan Russell

    I sure wish we still had real meteorologists that were way more accurate without all of today’s technology. These jokers today just repeat what the NWS reports, they have no instinct.

  31. Pamela Ann

    Leon county in Brazos valley just got hammered, lots of downed trees,roof damage

  32. Melinda Hart

    Oh you ain’t seen sh!t yet … 😈

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