Thunderstorm chances are on the rise across western parts of Texas today, and it goes downhill Thursday through Friday morning for the eastern half of Texas – plus the north, too. This afternoon’s strongest storms may produce damaging winds, hail, and heavy rain. Thursday’s storms could be more rambunctious with a risk of very large hail up to the size of baseballs, localized damaging wind gusts, flooding rainfall, and perhaps a low tornado risk.
This evening’s storms in the Panhandle and West Texas will grow into a cluster that moves northeast into Oklahoma. Damaging winds, hail, and heavy rain are possible. Tomorrow’s storms may begin in the late morning hours across the northern half of Texas. These morning and early afternoon storms may produce hail and heavy rain. Stronger storms are possible early to mid-afternoon in the Permian Basin, Concho Valley, Hill Country, Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas.
These initial superceulluar storms may pose a risk of a tornado, damaging winds, and very large hail. This afternoon risk is more conditional in the Hill Country, Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas. However, we expect supercells in the Permian Basin and Concho Valley by late Thursday afternoon. Those storms will move east/southeast toward the regions mentioned above, so even if afternoon storms don’t develop, activity will move in from the west.
We’ll also need to watch the rain and storms across the northern half of Texas as they may propagate farther south with time. Thursday night into Friday morning will be stormy across the eastern third to the eastern half of Texas. Heavy rainfall may result in new flooding across portions of North Texas, Central Texas, the Ark-La-Tex, East Texas, Brazos Valley, and Southeast Texas. Since saturated soils and rivers are in minor to major flood stages, it will not take much rain to cause new flooding issues. Please be mindful that some roads may be flooded after a downpour.
Weekend Warmup
We’ll start drying out (again) Friday afternoon and should remain mostly dry across Texas through Saturday and Sunday. It’ll be pretty warm over the weekend as early summer establishes itself. Next week looks to feature a more active weather pattern with a return of storm chances, but we’ll deal with that after we get past our current system.
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Kelley Ranly
We need all the rain we can get before it shuts off and we’ll be baking for 3 months.
Evelyn Billington getting rain and baking are two separate things and issues one has nothing to do with the other.
Kim Loucks I was talking about the upcoming summer months, and rain does cool the air. Think before you chime in.
Kim Loucks You couldn’t be more wrong. When we are baking and not getting rain our lakes drop fast.
Evelyn Billington more like five months
Ravens Moon Fòlkvangr I’m afraid you’re right. Not looking forward to a La Nina summer.
Evelyn Billington I couldn’t even tell we was out of La Niña at all. I’m in central Texas and it stays hot with severe draught five months a year. We don’t get rain or cooler weather often
Evelyn Billington Texas summer heat summed up in one sentence!!! I cannot do another summer like last year, way too hot!!🥵
Praying for gully washer in the Hill Country
It’s Thursday, isn’t it!!!
Need the heaviest of the rain further west by about 100 to 150 miles. This is not good for those who already have major soil saturation and overflowing lake levels.
Better than wildfire. I’ll take the rain
our gully is already overwashed…
Hate the rain but I wish we’d get more thunder and lightning!!!!!
And yet I leave for a cruise in Galveston tomorrow 🤦♀️
We could still use some in W. F. My yard is like a marsh but our Lakes are still only a little over half full
Someone is pissed at the COME AND TAKE IT STATE!
Kenneth Taylor the malevolent, demonic elites have always hated Texas and other red states. They keep manipulating the weather to take out the red, Bible Belt.
Ravens Moon Fòlkvangr totally agree! TEXAS is in the way of their plans! We won’t COMPLY to giving up our 2nd like others are so willingly.
Note: the 2nd protects the 1st
Kenneth Taylor I co own an ammunition’s manufacturing company in central Texas. My team is made up of mostly retired military special forces. We completely agree with you. They manipulate the weather so they can blame it on “Mother Nature” when tornados and canon size hail kill people. It’s an easy genocide
Ravens Moon Fòlkvangr so many are still asleep to this!
Kenneth Taylor apparently the weather men are amongst the sleeping
Ravens Moon Fòlkvangr no, they are PREDICTING the weather. You might as well say reading tarot cards!!! They are the messenger of the evil one!
Jeffrey Harris
Thanks for the update but please hold off until 3:00. Will you do that please!!!