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Texas Severe Weather Nowcast & Overnight Forecast | 10/4/23 3 PM

Scattered severe storms have erupted across West-Central Texas, Northwest Texas, and in the southern Permian Basin this afternoon. The strongest storms have a history of producing hail up to the size of tennis balls and localized damaging wind gusts over 70 MPH.

Storms will continue progressing to the east/northeast and become more numerous through the late afternoon hours. The most intense storms may produce hail larger than the size of a baseball and hurricane-force wind gusts over 80 MPH. Very heavy rain may also result in localized flash flooding. A tornado can’t be ruled out.

As we continue into this evening, storms will congeal into a squall line along a southward-advancing cold front across Northwest Texas east into Texoma and the Ark-La-Tex. These storms will move south tonight into Thursday morning across the Big Country, North Texas, Northeast Texas, Central Texas, the Brazos Valley, and East Texas, and make it into Southeast Texas by sunrise Thursday. Severe weather, damaging winds, hail, and flooding can be expected from the most intense storms across the regions. The hail/damaging wind threat will decrease a few hours before sunrise Thursday, but storms will continue as the front pushes south on Thursday.

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