For the second day now we’ve had showers and thunderstorms bubble up across Southeast Texas, the Coastal Plains, Deep South Texas, and the Rio Grande Valley. While we have had one or two severe thunderstorm warnings today the overall scheme of things have been quieter compared to Saturday. Moderate to locally heavy rain is now falling in the Houston metro but with less ferocity compared to Saturday’s activity. Nevertheless the typical trouble spots will likely accumulate water. The bayou system will do its job of getting water out but it’ll take a couple of hours once the rain lets up. While severe weather is not completely out of the question in Southeast Texas this evening I am not expecting much – if any – issues in that department. Showers and a few thunderstorms will likely continue into the night across Southeast Texas into South-Central Texas and the Coastal Plains.
Showers and a few thunderstorms have developed in West-Central Texas and Northwest Texas – from Snyder northeast to Quanah. This activity is slowly progressing east/northeast and will continue to do so this evening. Some occasional cloud to ground lightning and brief heavy rain will be possible. With temperatures ranging from the 50s to mid 60s we’re expecting any severe weather issues.
The one region that does have an isolated severe weather threat through the early evening hours is in Far West Texas. We’ve got a few strong storms that have fired up on Highway 67 between Alpine and Fort Stockton. Hail up to the size of nickels and 55 MPH wind gusts will be possible with that activity as it slowly moves east. Another batch of thunderstorms is impacting Interstate 10 around Van Horn and about 30-40 miles north and south of town on a longitudinal axis. Likewise those storms may also produce small hail and gusty winds up to 55 MPH. I can’t rule out one or two of the storms across this region from becoming severe with quarter size hail and damaging wind gusts over 60 MPH. The overall threat is limited by mediocre moisture levels and a marginally unstable airmass.