We’re starting a new weekly Sunday series with Meteorologist Trey Greenwood, focusing on the science behind the Texas forecast. If you want more than the surface-level outlook and prefer understanding why the weather is doing what it’s doing, this is your new home.

This week begins active, with severe storms today (Sunday) and again on Monday across parts of Texas. Trey walks through the setup in detail, including:

• SPC outlooks for today and tomorrow

• Hail, wind, and tornado probabilities

• Upper-air features driving the pattern

• Moisture return, dryline placement, and model trends

• What changes between today’s risk and Monday’s higher-end setup

• Flash flooding potential from repeated storm clusters

• A look ahead to quiet Thanksgiving weather

• Early signals for a potentially unsettled weekend to follow

Here’s today’s full technical deep dive:

After Monday’s storms move out, the weather calms down nicely through Thanksgiving before moisture and upper-level support return next weekend. We’ll keep updates coming as the pattern evolves.