Rain Returns to Texas This Week as Weather Pattern Turns Active

Forecast rainfall map showing increasing rain chances across Texas, including the Hill Country, North Texas, and Central Texas, with the heaviest totals highlighted in yellow and orange.

After weeks of dry air, gusty winds, and high fire danger, the wait is finally over — rain is on the way for much of Texas. A shift in the weather pattern will bring widespread showers, a few strong storms, and even the potential for localized flooding as we move into mid-week.

The first system arrives Wednesday night through Thursday, spreading rain and thunderstorms from West Texas into Central and North Texas. A few storms could become strong, with gusty winds, small hail, and heavy rainfall. Most of the state will pick up measurable rain between Wednesday night and Friday morning, with the highest totals from the Hill Country through Central Texas, the Big Country, and into North Texas.

Forecast guidance from the Weather Prediction Center suggests rainfall amounts of one to three inches across a large portion of the state, with isolated higher totals possible. While the dry ground will soak up much of it, heavier downpours could lead to localized flash flooding — especially in urban areas and along creeks and low-lying spots.

Dense fog will also become an issue ahead of the rain. Expect fog and low clouds each morning through Wednesday, especially across the Hill Country, Central Texas, and the Gulf Coast. Drivers should allow extra time for travel, and aviators may experience visibility restrictions during early-morning flights.

After a short break late Friday, another storm system may arrive this weekend, bringing renewed rain and thunderstorm chances into Sunday and early next week. Details are still coming into focus, but this active setup could continue right into Thanksgiving week.

Temperatures will stay mild through mid-week, with highs in the 70s and 80s across much of Texas and near 90 in Deep South Texas. Behind the first storm system, cooler air will arrive across the Panhandle and western half of the state, with highs dropping back into the 50s and 60s by Friday.

Bottom line — rain is finally coming back to Texas. While it may cause a few travel and flooding headaches, it’s a welcome change for much of the state heading into the final weeks of November.

David Reimer

Owner and Baldy-in-Chief of Texas Storm Chasers, one of the state’s leading independent weather media brands. I specialize in severe weather coverage, real-time storm tracking, and digital weather communication. Passionate about keeping Texans informed, prepared, and engaged—one forecast at a time.

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