The first storm system is out of the picture, but the next weather-maker is already gearing up to arrive this weekend. Today and Saturday stay mostly quiet for much of Texas, but Sunday and Monday will bring a return to widespread rain, thunderstorms, localized flooding, and potential travel delays during one of the busiest travel weeks of the year.

Today and Saturday: Mostly Quiet, With a Few Showers and Fog

A few lingering showers remain across Central and South-Central Texas this morning, but no severe weather or flooding concerns are expected today. Skies stay mostly cloudy with mild to warm temperatures statewide.

Saturday morning may feature areas of fog across the southeastern half of Texas, especially where heavier rain fell on Thursday. By Saturday afternoon and evening, isolated to widely scattered thunderstorms may develop from the Rio Grande Valley and South Texas westward into the Borderland.

These storms will begin the moisture feed ahead of the next upper-level storm system approaching from the west.

Sunday and Monday: Widespread Rain, Thunderstorms, and Flooding Risk

The next major system arrives early Sunday, with New Mexico already seeing heavy precipitation by sunrise.

Rain and thunderstorms will spread west to east across Texas throughout Sunday and into Monday. Multiple rounds of storms are possible, similar to the pattern earlier this week. The heaviest rain is expected across the northern half of the state.

Flash Flood Threat Sunday (Nov. 23)

The Weather Prediction Center highlights a scattered flash flood risk Sunday across the Concho Valley, Northern Hill Country, Big Country, Northwest Texas, North Texas, and Texoma. With soils already saturated from recent rain, these areas are vulnerable to quick rises on creeks, streams, and localized street flooding.

Flash Flood Threat Monday (Nov. 24)

On Monday, the flood threat shifts eastward. Northeast Texas, East Texas, and parts of North Texas face the highest risk, with lesser but still notable potential across the Brazos Valley and Southeast Texas.

Rainfall Totals Through Wednesday

Between now and 6 AM Wednesday, the Weather Prediction Center projects:

• 1–3 inches of rain from the Concho Valley through North Texas, Texoma, and into Northeast Texas
• Locally higher amounts possible
• Scattered pockets of heavy rain across Southeast Texas

Given wet soils and multiple rounds of storms, localized flooding may develop quickly, even if rainfall totals aren’t extreme.

Severe Weather Potential Sunday

A few stronger storms may occur on Sunday, with the possibility of:

• Localized damaging winds
• A brief tornado or two
• Small hail in isolated cases

This setup resembles what we saw Thursday night, where several storms briefly rotated and triggered quick tornado warnings.

Travel Impacts

Those flying into or out of major Texas airports Sunday or Monday should prepare for possible delays. Road conditions will be wet at times, with stronger storms producing heavy rain, street flooding, frequent cloud-to-ground lightning, and a low risk of severe weather (damaging winds, hail, brief tornadoes).

While widespread, all-day delays are not expected, periods of heavier rain and thunderstorms may cause temporary ground stops. Departure and arrival routes may also be compromised, leading to additional delays.

Temperature Outlook: From Warm to Seasonably Cool

Today brings a wide range of temperatures statewide:

• 50s in the Panhandle
• 70s and 80s across central and eastern Texas
• 90s in the Rio Grande Valley

Through the weekend and early next week, highs cool into the 60s and 70s for most of Texas, with 80s holding along the coast and deep south.

By Tuesday, a stronger cold front pushes into the Panhandle, dropping highs into the 40s near Dalhart and Amarillo. The cooler air spreads south and east through midweek.

Thanksgiving Week: Turning Cooler

The Climate Prediction Center’s November 26–30 temperature outlook favors below average temperatures across much of Texas as a cold spell dips into the central United States. While this doesn’t point to extremely cold conditions, Thanksgiving week looks cooler than the unusually warm weather we’ve seen lately.

Expect more seasonable late-November highs and comfortable holiday weather across most of the state.

Looking Ahead

We will continue monitoring trends for Sunday and Monday as the system approaches. Expect updated forecasts, radar tracking, and any needed severe or flood alerts through the weekend. After this system moves out Tuesday, a quieter pattern likely settles in for several days.

Safe travels to everyone heading out for early Thanksgiving plans. Stay weather-aware and keep an eye on changing conditions as we approach the next storm system.