Severe thunderstorms are expected across the Texas Panhandle this afternoon and evening. Damaging wind gusts are the primary threat, with some approaching 80 mph. Large hail and flooding rainfall also pose threats with more intense storms. Scattered storms are possible further south into West Texas and the Permian Basin, with similar hazards, though less widespread than in the Panhandle. Some storms will continue into the overnight hours in those regions. All storms will produce dangerous cloud-to-ground lightning. When thunder roars, go indoors.
Storm chances will spread back east on Tuesday into Northwest Texas, Texoma, Big Country, North Texas, and the Concho Valley. The more intense storms will likely be severe, with risks of damaging wind gusts, large hail, flooding rainfall, and a very low tornado threat. Storms will flare up in the mid-afternoon and continue into the evening hours, forming a southward-moving cluster of storms.
Wednesday may be less active, with isolated severe storm chances along the Texas/New Mexico border. Storm chances will increase again starting Thursday, with a risk of severe storms in the Panhandle and West Texas.
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