Overview

As the spring severe weather season winds down, several regions across Texas are bracing for active weather in the coming days. The southern half of the state has shifted to a more summer-like pattern, making it challenging to experience intense storms or widespread precipitation. Instead, residents can expect increased humidity and summer heat.

In contrast, the northern areas of Texas are under the influence of an upper-level jet stream, fostering conditions for upper-level lift and thunderstorm potential. This setup combines upper-level wind shear, extreme summertime instability, and moisture, creating a conducive environment for strong to severe storms.

🗓️ Tuesday, June 3: Scattered Severe Storms Expected

Tuesday, June 3rd: Scattered severe storms are expected in North and Central Texas with damaging winds and large hail possible.

The severe thunderstorm potential today will initiate in Northwest Texas, Big Country, Texoma, and western North Texas post 3 PM Isolated to scattered storms are anticipated throughout the late afternoon, gradually moving southeast. The strongest storms are likely to produce large hail, frequent lightning, and damaging wind gusts, with the storms potentially organizing into clusters or line segments, thereby increasing the risk of damaging winds. While a tornado threat exists, it remains low overall.

By dinner time and into the mid-evening hours, storm activity is expected to intensify in the Big Country and North Texas, along with a southward-moving cluster of thunderstorms. The potential threats include large hail, damaging winds, flooding rains, and the chance of a tornado, extending to the D/FW metroplex.

A significant cluster of storms is anticipated to shift southward tonight into Wednesday morning, impacting the Hill Country, Concho Valley, and Central Texas. Some storms may continue to exhibit strength into the late night, bringing damaging winds and penny-sized hail, alongside frequent to severe cloud-to-ground lightning and flooding rainfall. Activity is expected to lessen after sunrise on Wednesday.

🗓️ Wednesday, June 4: Isolated Severe Storms Possible

Wednesday, June 4th: Isolated severe storms are possible across the western Texas Panhandle and Permian Basin.

Wednesday afternoon and evening will see the return of thunderstorm chances for the Trans-Pecos, Permian Basin, West Texas, and the Texas Panhandle, with a potential cluster of storms moving southeast across the Texas Panhandle later that night, bringing the risk of large hail and damaging wind gusts.

🗓️ Thursday, June 5: Scattered Severe Storms in the Panhandle

Thursday, June 5th: Scattered severe storms possible in the Panhandle with damaging winds and large hail.

Thursday and Friday will maintain severe thunderstorm potential during the afternoon and evening hours across the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Northwest Texas, and Texoma. Storm chances are projected to expand eastward along the Red River into North Texas and Northeast Texas by Saturday.

🌧️ Rainfall Outlook Through Sunday, June 8

Forecast rainfall totals through 7 AM Sunday, June 8th. Highest amounts expected across the Big Country and North Texas.

With multiple rounds of heavy rain forecasted over the next five days, localized flooding is anticipated. Residents are advised to remain cautious of high water on roadways and fast-flowing water over low-water crossings of streams and creeks.

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