A complex of thunderstorms is moving east into western North Texas from the Big Country this morning. We expect that cluster of storms to eventually move over Interstate 35 late this morning into the early afternoon in Texoma and North Texas.

Isolated to scattered severe storms may develop ahead of the line, across North Texas and Northeast Texas. If those individual storms are able to develop, they may be severe with a risk of a few tornadoes, large hail, and localized damaging wind gusts. There is also an increased risk of flash flooding today in Texoma, North Texas, and Northeast Texas, including the D/FW Metroplex.

Scattered severe storms are expected this afternoon and evening across North Texas and Northeast Texas, including the D/FW Metroplex. The most intense storms may produce tornadoes, damaging winds, and large hail. Storms with strong winds and hail are also possible in the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Northwest Texas.

Individual storms will move east/northeast this morning and afternoon. Late this afternoon and evening, we’re going to see a line of storms begin moving south/southeast into southern North Texas and East Texas, toward the Brazos Valley. The strongest storms within the line this evening may produce very heavy rain, strong winds, and hail.

Those storms will weaken late this evening as they move south into the Brazos Valley. Furthermore, a line of storms may develop late this afternoon in the Texas Panhandle and West Texas, moving east into Northwest Texas this evening with strong winds and hail.

Thursday morning appears to be less active, with a pause in thunderstorm activity in Texas. However, this will change Thursday afternoon and evening as the chance of scattered severe storms returns to the Hill Country, Central Texas, Brazos Valley, and East Texas. Slow-moving storms with large hail are possible. On Friday, we will see storm chances shift back west.

Isolated to scattered storms are most likely this weekend and early next week across the western third of Texas. A pattern more favorable for heavy rain could develop going into the upcoming week.

VIDEO CHAPTERS
00:00 Introduction
00:58 Today’s Severe Storm Risk
02:58 Thursday’s Severe Storm Risk
03:37 Friday’s Severe Storm Risk
04:01 Storm Timing: Today & Thursday (HRRR model)
06:34 Flash Flood Threat
07:19 Friday through Early Next Week (GFS model)
08:39 Rain Forecast through Sunday
09:26 Conclusion & Baldyinchiefisms

You can track the storms with our free interactive weather radar here on our website. Once we have tornado warnings, we’ll have live severe weather coverage here on our website, our mobile app, and on various social media platforms.