Author: David Reimer

Late Afternoon Update on Tonight/Tuesday’s High Impact Winter Storm

I want to start out with a part of the National Weather Service Houston’s afternoon forecast discussion. Lead meteorologist Scott Overpeck stated “This is probably one of my top 5 toughest most challenging forecasts to make and one of the toughest forecast decisions to make. Big thanks to our forecast team collaborating on this but 12Z models all show very similar trends.” Forecasting winter weather in Texas is difficult and very small changes in a number of parameters can make or break a forecast. Obviously, when forecasting the potential for a significant winter storm those factors are even more important. Plans...

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High-Impact Winter Weather Event Starts Tonight & Expands on Tuesday

Grab your morning cup of caffeine. We’ve got a lot to talk about this morning with the warning map lit up like a uniquely-colored Christmas tree. Winter weather has the potential of impacting all of our largest metros in Texas in the coming 36 hours. Let’s start off by reviewing the current warnings and advisories. In order of severity we go 1) Warning, 2) Advisory, 3) Watch. The big message with this storm is that temperatures will quickly fall into the 20s as precipitation switches over from rain to freezing rain/sleet/snow. Regardless of where you are on the map...

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Winter Storm Watches Issued from Hill Country into Northeast Texas

* A Winter Storm Watch is in effect Monday Night into Tuesday Morning for the Hill Country, southern North Texas, Northeast Texas, and parts of East Texas. The watch is in effect on Tuesday for the Edwards Plateau, Central Texas, and portions of South-Central Texas. Some cities included: Del Rio, Uvalde, Junction, San Antonio, Gonzales, San Marcos, Austin, Georgetown, Llano, Brady, Hamilton, Killeen, Waco, Hillsboro, Waxahachie, Corsicana, Fairfield, Palestine, Athens, Terrell, Tyler, Rusk, Carthage, Marshall, Sulphur Springs, Mount Pleasant, De Kalb, and Texarkana. Accumulations of freezing rain, sleet, and snow are possible. Due to very cold temperatures accumulations on...

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Disruptive Winter Weather Event possible starting Monday Evening & spreading south on Tuesday

While we’re still 48+ hours out from any potential event, confidence is increasing that we will see impacts from winter precipitation beginning Monday evening and continuing into Tuesday. The first impacts would begin in the north as temperatures fall below freezing with precipitation changing over to freezing rain/sleet. The freezing line would continue moving south Monday night with a switch-over to snow in parts of North Texas and Northeast Texas with a winter mix in Central Texas. By Tuesday morning the freezing line could be approaching San Antonio east to the northwest of Houston. We’re still too far out...

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Potential Winter Weather Mischief Monday Night into Tuesday

A few different players will make or break a potential winter weather event Monday Night into Tuesday. Before everyone ends up all excited and raids the grocery stores, let’s keep in mind that a lot will change between now and Monday. Forecasting winter weather in Texas is difficult and there are always a few surprises that unfold during an event. I don’t think I need to remind anyone of that considering what all has transpired over the last two months. Here are a few important things to remember when talking about winter weather. Temperatures are important; not only at...

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