Author: David Reimer

Dual Threat of Severe Storms and Flooding in North/Northeast Texas Today/Tonight

A small complex of thunderstorms is located near Sweetwater moving northeast at 40 MPH. This complex was recently warned for damaging wind gusts near 60 MPH and small hail. It’ll impact Abilene within the next hour. Those out in that area will notice a photogenically impressive shelf cloud on the leading edge of these storms. Focus for this afternoon and early evening will be along a stationary front in North Texas and Texoma. While unusual for August, there will be adequate wind shear to support organized thunderstorms. The first storms that fire up by the mid afternoon may be...

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Tropical Storm Franklin Forms in Northwestern Caribbean, No Threat to USA

Rapid scan satellite imagery from GOES 16 indicates we now have a well-defined closed circulation in the northwestern Carribean. As such advisories have been initiated on Tropical Storm Franklin. Maximum sustained winds are estimated to be near 40 MPH – hence why we’ve gone straight to a tropical storm. Franklin is moving northwest at 13 MPH and will make landfall on the Yucatan Pensenyla tomorrow. Once it moves across the Yucatan it’ll enter the very warm Bay of Campeche for about a day. It is during that time Franklin may rapidly intensify into a hurricane. Luckily for us, Franklin...

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Thunderstorm Chances Increase This Evening; Flooding Threat on Monday & Tuesday

A summer cold front has moved through the Texas Panhandle with temperatures in the 60s and 70s. The leading edge of the front now extends from near Hobbs to Lubbock to Childress extending northeast to Oklahoma City. This front will be a focal point for thunderstorm development after 3 PM this afternoon. A weakening cluster of thunderstorms is located near the Red River in Northeast Oklahoma into western Arkansas. These storms will continue to move southeast while gradually weakening into the afternoon hours. Some back-building of storms may occur on the western edge of this thunderstorm cluster, so we’ll...

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Pattern change to bring rare summer cool front next week

After a couple weeks of summertime weather, we’re about to undergo a pattern change. The high pressure responsible for our hot and oppressively humid weather will be moving west. In response to that westward shift, we’re going to see a weak north/northwesterly flow aloft. That will allow a weak cool front to progress south into the state this weekend into next week. Conditions north of the front will be noticeably less sticky with dewpoints dropping from the middle 70s down into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Temperatures won’t be too much cooler, but we should see a five to ten-degree drop...

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Isolated to Widely Scattered Storms through Monday

Finally, we have something to chat about besides the heat and humidity. We’ll have the opportunity for a day or two of isolated to scattered storms. This activity isn’t going to be widespread nor will it put a damper on the humidity. What these showers may do is help provide a short-term cool off. If it’s going to be humid I’d personally rather it be in the 70s and 80s versus 100s. Any storm that gets going today could produce frequent cloud to ground lightning, brief heavy rainfall, and localized wind gusts over 50 MPH. Lightning strikes could start grass fires especially those that occur outside of precipitation cores. Lightning can strike over 15 miles away from a parent thunderstorm. If you hear thunder you’re close enough to be struck. When thunder roars go indoors! Isolated to widely scattered storms will be possible again on Monday, but the heat dome will squash those chances by Tuesday. Continued above-average temperatures are expected this week. We may see a slight lessening of the heat toward Friday as the heat dome tries to shift a bit west. Otherwise, expect much of the same weather through August unless we end up with tropical...

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