Discussion – 

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Discussion – 

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Atypical weather to start August in Texas with Rain and ‘not as hot’ Temperatures (for some!)

August is typically one of the hottest months in Texas. Outside of tropical mischief, we don’t usually have much to discuss weather-wise. 2021 continues to be an aberration with seasonably cool temperatures forecast tonight in West Texas and high rain chances farther southeast.

Let’s start with the good news, and that is increased clouds will help keep temperatures comparatively cooler today near and south of the cool front. Temperatures north of the cool front will be substantially lower than previous days – along with much lower humidity values. Today’s highest rain chances will be concentrated on Texas’s ‘middle tier’ from El Paso east to Louisiana. It’s probably easier for me to describe who doesn’t have much in the way of rain chances today.

The Texas Panhandle, West Texas, Northwest Texas, and Deep South Texas look to remain predominantly dry today. Those up north will be cooler thanks to the cool front, but it’ll be baking across Deep South Texas and the Rio Grande Valley. Heavy rainfall rates are probable with heavier storms. Localized flash flooding is possible, especially where those heavier storms drop a quick two to four inches of rain.

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Summer storms are potent in the lightning department. When thunder roars, get your behind indoors! I may feel comfortable getting close to tornadoes (which in itself is a topic of mental stability, but I digress), but lightning is a whole other animal. Don’t taunt Mother Nature by getting under a tree or remaining outdoors in a lightning storm. Rain chances will stay high tonight across the Borderland, Edwards Plateau, South-Central Texas, all the way east to Louisiana. Some heavier rains may also continue, so keep out of any high water on roadways.

Tonight’s Temperatures

Tonight's low temperature forecast

Tonight’s forecast low temperatures are cooler than what we’d expect for early August across the northwest half of Texas. Yes, those are indeed temperatures down into the 50s across the Texas Panhandle and West Texas. I mean, come on now! 57 degrees for Dalhart and Plainview? Slap me silly and throw me back to 2011 because this summer’s weather is the polar opposite. Also, no. I don’t want to be thrown back to the summer of 2011 (also known as hell).

Those of you who weren’t with us in Texas back in 2011 can google that summer’s weather along with 1980. Both would probably have thrown the power grid into chaos if they happened this year, but I’m going down a rabbit hole again.

Unfortunately, y’all across the southern half of Texas are not going to be seeing cooler weather tonight. Low temperatures will be in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees along the coast. We note that the Gulf of Mexico is looking mighty warm. Tropical mischief is not expected in the Gulf of Mexico for at least a week (hopefully much longer, but we are edging toward prime tropical mischief season).

Tuesday

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Chance of precipitation across Texas on Tuesday

Rain chances will continue on Tuesday and spread a bit further south. The northern half of Texas will likely remain primarily dry seasonably ‘not as hot’ temperatures or humidity. Some heavy rain may once again be a nuisance across South Texas, the Coastal Plains, and Southeast Texas. When it rains in August, it can usually do it in abundance. Widespread flash flooding isn’t likely, but some street flooding could occur at times.

Extended Outlook

More isolated precipitation chances will continue across the southern half of Texas on Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures will begin climbing again across the northern half of Texas after the brief respite from hot weather.

Above-average temperatures with the upper 90s and triple-digit heat look to return this upcoming weekend across Texas. Low temperatures will also be warmer (which makes overnight heat recovery more difficult). I’d anticipate a return of heat advisories. Enjoy the rain chances and ‘not as hot weather for those who might get it. We’ll be back to the hot and dry summer conditions by week’s end.

David Reimer

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