Most of the state will remain quiet for the remainder of this evening with the exception of parts of west Texas east of Ft. Stockton which will remain under the gun for isolated strong to severe storms for the next several hours. One confirmed tornado developed over the brushland east of Ft. Stockton near I-10 earlier but has since dissipated. Additional isolated tornadic development in the area is possible over the next several hours…but again, this activity is expected to remain isolated. A Severe Thunderstorm WATCH will remain in effect across the region until 11pm.
As we get into the overnight hours, more widespread storms are expected to develop over the Big Country/Concho Valley region (Midland, San Angelo, Abilene) and merge into a squall line which will move east/northeast and begin to impact portions of western north central Texas during the early morning hours and move into the I-35 corridor around noon. This squall line of storms moving across north central Texas tomorrow morning and through the early afternoon hours will carry the threat of large hail and damaging winds. The area expecting the greatest threat for severe weather on Saturday will reside mainly east and southeast of the I-35 corridor tomorrow afternoon as the squall line begins to tap into high levels of moisture and increasing instability during the afternoon hours. Hail, damaging winds and the threat of a few tornados will be the main threats. If you have outdoor plans tomorrow east or southeast of the DFW metro region, plan for storm activity and have a way to receive weather warnings if you’re out and about. We’ll have another update out tomorrow morning with the latest discussion on the forecast once the early morning data rolls in.