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Friday Evening Look at the Overnight Rain/Storm Forecast

We’re down to three clusters of thunderstorms this evening. The cluster over Northeast Texas is capable of producing small hail, gusty winds, and brief heavy rain as it moves to the east. We’ll be focusing on the other two areas of thunderstorms as they pose a risk of severe weather and flooding.

A line of storms extending from Giddings to Luling to Pearsall to Carrizo Springs is moving southeast at 30 to 50 MPH. We’ve seen the storms from San Antonio to Bastrop accelerate southeastward as they’ve become wind-producers. This line will move into Southeast Texas, the Coastal Plains, and South Texas in the coming hours. The strongest storms may produce wind gusts up to 70 MPH and a low threat of brief tornadoes. What is more likely is very heavy rainfall and the potential for localized flooding. As we saw in Austin earlier this evening these storms are capable of putting down a lot of rain in a short period of time.

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Storms ongoing in the Big Country and western North Texas continue to move southeast at 15 to 25 MPH. The strongest storms are producing large hail and very heavy rainfall. We also have new storms trying to pop up on a frontal boundary located near Interstate 20 from Weatherford to Terrell. Those storms may get a tad rowdy with some small hail, lots of lightning, and heavy rainfall. They’re not moving very quickly, so we’ll need to keep an eye out for any isolated flash flooding issues.

While it may be a wet Friday night where you’re located this weekend is looking fairly decent in the weather department. Those across the eastern two-thirds of Texas will get a few days to dry out. We will see isolated to scattered afternoon thunderstorm development across eastern New Mexico into the Texas Panhandle, West Texas, and Permian Basin on Saturday and Sunday. Those storms will be associated with a dryline. Some of those storms will be hailers.

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David Reimer

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