Mesoscale Discussion 0266 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0303 PM CDT Sat Apr 06 2019 Areas affected...Central/Southeast/East TX Concerning...Tornado Watch 38... Valid 062003Z - 062130Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 38 continues. SUMMARY...A corridor of higher tornado threat will exist from central TX (near Austin) northeastward into east TX (near Jacksonville) for the next few hours. DISCUSSION...Warm front currently extends from near AUS northeastward to JSO then eastward into central LA. Several storms along this boundary have exhibited low-level rotation as the augmented lift, higher low-level moisture, and increased surface vorticity create an environment supportive of tornadogenesis. Consequently, a corridor of higher tornado threat is anticipated near this boundary for the next hour or two.
Dangerous thunderstorms capable of producing brief tornadoes are moving northeast across portions of Central Texas. The first storm will cross Interstate 45 between Centerville and Buffalo by 4 PM. A second supercell with a history of producing tornadoes is located just east of Cameron and is moving northeast toward Franklin, passing just south of the track of the first storm. This second storm may also threaten Centerville by 5 PM. A third storm about 15 miles southwest of Rockdale is moving east/northeast with signs of mid-level rotation. We’ll watch that third storm closely as it moves into an enviornment supportive of brief tornadoes.