The Storm Prediction Center has issued a short-term update regarding the severe weather threat this evening. They indicate that stronger storms will remain capable of producing hail across North Texas and Northeast Texas for the next several hours. We have seen new thunderstorms develop along the Red River in Cooke County. Those storms are moving east and could be the next round that moves toward Northeast Texas. We’ll have to watch them in case they begin to develop farther south and/or intensify.
The strongest storm by far is near Emory, moving southeast down Highway 69 toward Quitman and Mineola. That storm is capable of producing golfball size hail and 65 MPH winds.
Mesoscale Discussion 0237 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1011 PM CDT Sun Mar 24 2019 Areas affected...northeast Texas...southwest Arkansas...far southeast Oklahoma into northwest Louisiana Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33... Valid 250311Z - 250515Z The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 33 continues. SUMMARY...Large hail remains possible mainly over southern parts of the watch from northeast Texas toward the ArkLaTex. DISCUSSION...Storm trends have been down recently with the loss of heating, but widely-scattered hail cores remain. The most unstable air currently resides over TX, with southwesterly flow aloft feeding somewhat elevated storms into AR where temperatures are cooler. Given the influence of a low-amplitude shortwave trough approaching the area, some redevelopment is expected through about 09Z. Cells were beginning to increase again near the Red River as of 03Z, north of the wind shift. This boundary and/or outflows from existing storms will favor redevelopment. Wind profiles will continue to favor east-southeastward moving cells capable of hail, and the severe threat may eventually spread into areas just south and east of the current watch.