Winter never really got started in the Texas Panhandle last year, but they’ve certainly had their fair share of snow to last a little while. Snowfall totals near 10 inches were reported in Dumas (north of Amarillo by about 25 miles). Accumulating snows came to an end this morning and for the most part, we’re at the concluding phase of any precipitation across Texas this evening. Now the cold arrives…

Tonight’s Low-Temperature Forecast

Temperatures tonight will fall below freezing across the northwestern half of Texas, roughly from Sanderson to Austin to Bryan/College Station to Texarkana. Wind chills will be five to fifteen degrees below the air temperature.

We note that temperatures across the Panhandle (where we have a snowpack) will likely fall into the single digits to lower teens by Tuesday morning. Wind chills there could make it into the negative single digits as northerly winds continue.

Tuesday’s High-Temperature Forecast

Cold air advection thanks to northerly winds will keep high temperatures quite a bit below average for mid-November tomorrow. Those across the Texas Panhandle will get a few degrees above freezing, but any snow still on the ground will result in a slower warmup.

West Texas, Northwest Texas, the Big Country, North Texas, Central Texas, and Northeast Texas will struggle to get into the 40s. Wind chill values will remain in the 20s and 30s tomorrow.

Those in the Borderland through the Edwards Plateau east through Southeast Texas will experience a nasty, raw day with high temperatures in the 40s and wind chills in the 30s.

The bottom falls out Tuesday night

A majority of Texas will experience a hard freeze by Wednesday morning as temperatures fall into the 10s and 20s across most of Texas. The freezing line will make it all the way south into the Rio Grande Valley and to the immediate coastline across the remainder of Texas.

We note that the average freeze for places like Houston and McAllen isn’t until the first or second week of December, so we’re a month ahead of schedule, but not the earliest freeze on record. However, some locations may approach or hit previous record low temperatures set for the day (November 14). Any wind will only make it feel colder, and Wednesday morning will be quite chilly – even by winter standards.

What’s next?


We aren’t expecting any major storm systems for the remainder of the work week. Temperatures will slowly warm each day and we should have the 50s and 60s back by Friday. So warmer weather fans at least have that to look forward to.