Rain chances will be on the uptick this weekend for two distinct portions of the state…southeast Texas along the coast, and western Texas including the Trans Pecos/Permian Basin regions, southern panhandle and into portions of far western north Texas. These regions of the state will have the highest chances for impacts to outdoor plans for the Labor Day weekend, and while that will be a nuisance, I’m sure most won’t complain considering our ongoing drought issues.
For coastal and southeast Texas, a surface low over the gulf is expected to generate continuous rain chances over the weekend and into Labor Day. This is not associated with the current tropical disturbance over Hispaniola, Turks and Caicos which we expect will move into the Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the week ahead. Training of storms that develop across coastal and southeast Texas this weekend, especially Sunday and Monday, will lead to rainfall totals possibly in excess of 3-4 inches. Not everyone will see that amount of rain as it will be highly dependent on where the training bands of storms set up, but residents in normally flood prone areas along the coast should take precautions now and pay close attention to the local forecast this weekend.
For the western half of the state, daily chances for showers and storms will be on the uptick especially as we get into Sunday and Monday. Severe weather is not expected, some of the storms are expected to produce gusty outflow winds along with heavy rain which will generate localized flooding issues from time to time over the next several days. Temps will also be a bit cooler than we typically see this time of the year which will be a nice break from the summer heat.