This weekend will be seasonally hot with mostly dry conditions and the continued threat for grass fires across portions of western north Texas. Highs across the state today will be in the mid to upper 90s which is close to or slightly above normal for this time of the year. On Sunday temps will nudge up just a bit with a few more locations reaching the upper 90s and low 100s. Rain chances will be slim over the weekend, but parts of coastal and southeast Texas will see a decent chance for scattered rain showers today and again tomorrow as the daily seabreeze front works its way inland. Portions of far western Texas will also see chances for scattered showers later this afternoon. The main threats with any of the pop up showers and storms today will be gusty winds and lightning.
As we get into the work week ahead, our resident dome of high pressure will begin to retreat back to the west which will put us back into a north/northwest flow pattern and bring chances for rain back into the forecast by the middle of the week. The probability of rain will be on the increase across much of north and northeast Texas by late Tuesday into Wednesday…with Wednesday and Thursday looking to be the best days for more widespread rain chances across these regions. A cold front will try to ooze into north Texas on Wednesday and will help focus the chances for rain and a few storms Wednesday and Thursday. As we always see with these types of summertime setups, where storms form each day will depend on the location of the front and outflow boundaries leftover from previous storms. Severe weather is not expected at this time, but some of the stronger cells could contain some small hail, gusty winds and frequent lightning. Temps will be cooler from mid-week and into the weekend as rain chances and associated cloud cover keep a lid on our daily highs making it a tad more comfortable to be out and about each afternoon and evening.