Severe weather chances once again return to our state Tuesday afternoon. A strong cold front will move south out of Oklahoma into the panhandle by Tuesday morning and advance through northern Texas and west central Texas by late morning. An upper level disturbance will also be lifting northeast out of Mexico into central and eastern Texas. As the front pushes south and east of the DFW metroplex, and best forcing arrives from the upper level disturbance, we’ll begin to see clusters of storms develop along the front by mid-afternoon across parts of central and east central Texas. We’ll have plenty of instability and moisture in place, and the typical capping inversion we see should lift fairly quickly as the upper level disturbance arrives. As such, we’ll likely see the storms rapidly develop and merge into large clusters, or perhaps even a few squall line segments as they progress further south and east into the late afternoon and evening hours. At this time, large hail and damaging winds appear to be the primary threats, with the tornado threat remaining very low. Flooding this time around looks to not be an issue because the storms will be moving fast and not train across any one area for a great length of time. This will certainly be good news for folks across southeast Texas who are still dealing with saturated soils and ongoing river and creek flooding. The animated forecast graphic below takes us from about 10am Tuesday morning through Midnight. As always, keep in mind this is just a model forecast…not live radar…but it will give you a peek at how the radar may shape up Tuesday evening and through the late evening hours.