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Marginal Risk (Level 1) Of Strong to Severe Storms Today Followed By Yet Another Cold Front

Rain and storm chances continue today in advance of our next April cold front.  The Storm Prediction Center has highlighted portions of central and eastern Texas with a Marginal Risk (Level 1) for a few strong storms with mainly a hail and gusty wind threat.  We’ll likely see two rounds of storms today…the first occurring this morning across north Texas, but as we get further into the late morning and early afternoon hours, we’re expecting to see coverage expand south into east central and eastern Texas.  Expansive cloud cover across much of north, central and eastern Texas will keep instability levels at bay, so much of this activity during the day will be in the form of just widespread rain, some heavy at times, but without the threat of severe storms.  The severe threat won’t come into play until later this afternoon as the cold front begins to push into western north Texas.  Partially clearing skies across western north Texas may allow for some surface heating sufficient to generate some marginal instability levels and we could see one or two stronger storms develop which would carry a greater threat for hail and damaging winds.  This isolated storm development is not expected to last very long before additional storms develop and merge into a squall line along the frontal boundary which will then track east/southeast across north and central Texas through the evening hours and into east and southeast Texas during the early overnight hours.  With the squall line, damaging winds will be the main threat, but at this time, this does not look to develop into a widespread damaging wind event.  At any rate, we’ll see another round of decent rainfall today, then the cold front will push all the way down to the coast by tomorrow morning and Sunday will be quite pleasant and dry across the state!

Simulated Radar through 1am

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Jenny Brown

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