For north Texas and portions of central Texas, the remainder of this evening through the early overnight hours is expected to remain relatively calm with areas of dense fog as the primary issue. As we get into the early morning hours on Saturday around daybreak, we’ll begin to see storms rapidly develop off to the west and northwest of the DFW metro. These storms will move east and are expected to impact the metro area between 9 and 11am. The main threats will be damaging winds and large hail…possibly up to the size of golfballs…within any of the stronger storms that develop. There is also a threat for tornadoes given the amount of instability and wind shear expected to be present early in the day across north central Texas. These storms will continue to move east throughout the day on Saturday impacting northeast Texas by early to mid-afternoon. As they move east and into an even more moist and unstable environment across northeast Texas, the threat for severe storms, including the possibility of one or two strong tornadoes, increases. Areas with the greatest risk of seeing strong tornadoes tomorrow afternoon will be north of the I-20 corridor across northeast Texas, southeastern Oklahoma, northwestern Louisiana and southwestern Arkansas. The Storm Prediction Center has placed a portion of north central Texas under a Slight Risk (Level 2) and portions of northeast Texas under an Enhanced Risk (Level 3) for tomorrow. Residents in or near the Risk areas outlined for tomorrow need to be on alert and have a way to receive Warnings throughout the day.
Below we have a peek at how the radar may shape up between now and about 6pm tomorrow evening with storms developing early on Saturday across north central Texas and advancing east during the afternoon hours. As always, keep in mind this is only a model forecast…not live radar…but it will give folks a pretty decent idea of how things will shape up tomorrow. Have your Weather Radios on and check back with us tomorrow morning for additional updates!