Those who have been monitoring the weather forecast from your preferred media outlet may already know there is a chance of some winter mischief tomorrow in Texoma and North Texas. We’ve been quiet about it mainly because we’ve been busy with real-life obligations. Most data continues to suggest that this will be a minor winter weather event. Not everyone will experience snow and those who do only have a low-shot at receiving accumulations. Widespread travel problems are not expected, but as always we’ll have to watch bridges if some locations receive a burst of heavier snow.
This evening’s high-resolution North American Model has finally picked up on the chance for a quick-hitting round of snow tomorrow. Like other events this winter this one will be caused by a fast-moving upper-level storm system. In fact, this one will be a small ripple of energy with that storm system, so it is even trickier to forecast. Don’t be surprised if we see forecast changes as the event evolves tomorrow. The chance of snow, perhaps a rain/snow mix, will be highest along and north of Interstate 20 in North Texas. Snow will decrease quickly by early-evening as it moves into eastern North Texas (east of the D/FW Metroplex). Accumulations are expected to be light, with most folks receiving no accumulations to a dusting. I can’t rule out some spots seeing one-half inch of snow on grassy surfaces.
I do want to emphasize that while it is not expected at this time, there is a small chance of brief bursts of heavier snowfall tomorrow in narrow zones. They wouldn’t last long but could dump a quick one-half to one-inch of snow in localized areas. If that happens we could see a few travel issues with slushy bridges, but melting would occur quickly due to recent warm temperatures. The most likely zone for this low-probability scenario is from Highway 380 from Decatur east to McKinney north to far southern Oklahoma. These systems always throw a surprise or two, so we’ll just throw that word of caution out there now.