The primary weather concern for today will be the downright hot temperatures expected across Texas. This will easily be the hottest day of the year so far for most of Texas. Triple digit temperatures should be achieved for the western half of Teas, including most locations west of Interstate 35/35W. Record heat is possible in Amarillo, Lubbock, and Midland with 105 to 110 degrees. Pecos is forecast to hit 113 degrees today as a high. Whether or not you’ve lived in Texas one year or fifty, that kind of heat will give you heat exhaustion and possibly worse if you don’t take precautions. Drink plenty of water and take frequent breaks in shaded/air conditioned areas. Highs this afternoon will be comparatively cooler across the eastern half of Texas in the 90s, but it comes at the expense of higher humidity values. Those higher humidity values will create heat index values of 100 to 110 degrees, so no matter where you are in Texas, it’ll feel like 100+ degrees today. Use plenty of sunscreen, stay hydrated, and have a great time if you’re headed to the pool or the beach.
Heat advisories have been issued for most of the northern half of Texas. These locations are expected to have air temperatures or heat index values exceed 105 degrees for at least 3 hours this afternoon. Don’t be surprised if these advisories end up being expanded further south/southeast, but it doesn’t matter too much. It’ll be hotter than an egg on the pavement.
The other concern for this forecast isn’t one that will impact this weekend; nor may it impact us at all. However, the tropics are heating up. As of late Friday night, the National Hurricane Center has indicated a 60% probability of a tropical cyclone developing in the Bay of Campeche to the southern Gulf of Mexico over the next five days. Global/long-range weather models have done a decent job at showing this possibility for ten days now. Until this system develops (if it does at all) we’re not going to have a good idea of where it’ll go. I don’t think this system becomes a major hurricane. Solutions range from a weak system moving into Mexico to a more organized system impacting Western Florida next week. This will certainly be worth watching, and we’ll be doing just that.