The weather story for most of Texas through mid-week will be increasing temperatures. After a few days of comparatively cooler weather, we’re heading back up the thermostat. Across the western half of Texas, we’ll see temperatures climb about five degrees higher on Wednesday and again on Thursday compared to the previous day’s high temperature. Further east where humidity levels will be higher we will not see as much of a rise in temperatures. However, the heat index will make it feel a few degrees warmer than the actual air temperature. Unlike last week we aren’t talking about record-breaking heat, but just the ‘typical’ temperatures you’d expect in Texas during the summer.
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are already underway near the coast and those chances will continue through the afternoon hours. The highest chance of rain will be across South Texas, Southwest Texas, South-Central Texas, east into Southeast Texas. Isolated to widely scattered showers are possible further north in Central and North Texas – also extending west into the Trans-Pecos. Severe thunderstorms are not expected, but some storms may contain small hail and strong wind gusts. Locally heavy rainfall will be the primary hazard today and localized flash flooding is possible. A quick two to four inches of rain may fall under one of these heavy showers, so this will be another day with hit/miss activity. Scattered showers may continue into the evening hours across South-Central and Southeast Texas, but should be fewer than during the daytime hours.
Wednesday and Thursday will bring additional chances for scattered showers and storms across the Middle Coast into Southeast Texas. Again, locally heavy rainfall will be possible with the hit/miss activity. Rain chances will increase on Thursday further north in East Texas. Severe storms aren’t likely either day, but small hail and gusty winds will be possible with the strongest pop-up storms. Like today localized flooding is the primary concern with a quick two to four inches of rain possible in very localized areas.