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Scattered Showers In The Forecast Today across SE TX – Isolated Storm Chances Along The Dryline Across W TX.

Another hot, breezy and mostly dry day in the forecast across the western half of the state with highs ranging from the mid 90s to low 100s in the forecast during peak heating this afternoon.  We do have a chance at a few scattered storms to develop along and just east of the dryline this afternoon with the best chances across the southern panhandle/rolling plains region, trans Pecos and Big Bend regions.  The cap is expected to be sufficiently strong and hold off most of the storms across western Texas this afternoon, but if the cap can break in a few areas, we could see a few storms fire up.  Coverage of storms will be sparse and remain below severe imits, but a few could be come marginally strong with a gusty wind and lightning threat.  Portions of southeast Texas will see the better chances for scattered pop-up showers and storms today as a small upper level disturbance hangs around over the area.  Severe weather is not expected.  Elsewhere, it looks like a typical summer day shaping up…warm and humid with mostly sunny skies.  For Monday, pretty much a repeat of today except we’ll see slightly better chances for a few isolated showers across both the panhandle and southeast Texas. High pressure will be shifting east as an upper level low approaches from the west and we’ll see the dryline sharpen up just a bit.  Once again, storms will be isolated, so not everyone will see a threat for rain or storms, but it will be something to keep an eye on if you’re out and about.  Coverage of showers across far southeast Texas is expected to be around 40%…so there’s a decent chance your lawn and flowers will get a good drink.

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Jenny Brown

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