A cold front will continue to push through the state this evening and is expected to reach our coastal areas after midnight tonight.  The benefits of this cold front will be short-lived though as south and southwest winds return by Thursday and we’ll see temperatures soar across the western half of the state.  It’s possible by Thursday afternoon we’ll see temperatures reach 100 degrees for the first time this year, and if they don’t actually reach the 100 degree mark, they’ll come darn close.  While this may seem like quite a shock, highs at or close to 100 are not that abnormally high for this time of the year when we do typically see our highs reach at least into the mid 90s across much of the state.  We’ve just been spoiled here recently with temps somewhat below normal for May.  Enjoy it while it lasts because those long, hot summer days are getting close!  As for rainfall, looks like after today we’ll see a bit of a break from the threat of storms and rain…but those chances will return by Sunday and into Monday as our next cold front arrives.  More details on that further down in our Memorial Day Weekend Sneak Peek!

Highs tomorrow, still pleasant with the influence of today’s cold front.  We’ll also see skies clearing and plenty of sunshine and near zero chances for rainfall.  The forecast for Thursday and Friday will be much the same as Wednesday only we’ll see increasing moisture and cloud cover…especially as we get into Friday.  The dryline will set up as usual across the west central Texas Thursday and Friday with very dry conditions west of the boundary and increasing moisture east of the boundary.  We’ll also see increasing instability levels east of the dryline, but strong capping across the region will keep any chance for rain or storms at near zero.

A Sneak Peek at the Memorial Day Forecast

A cold front will arrive by Saturday afternoon across north Texas and this is expected to be sufficient to lift the cap and allow isolated to scattered strong to severe storms develop by Saturday afternoon.  Being this far out, it’s difficult to say exactly where the best chances for storms will be given that will depend on the position of the front at that time.  Currently, best chances for storms on Saturday appear to cover most of the north Texas region and up into eastern Oklahoma.  Coverage of storms is not expected to be great, so not everyone will be impacted, but folks out on area lakes across north Texas Saturday afternoon and evening will need to watch the weather closely.

Better chances for rain and storms on Memorial day weekend will arrive on Sunday as the cold front stalls out across the region.  Again, a lot will depend on where the front ends up, but at this time, it looks like the best chances for rain and strong to severe storms will be across northeast Texas, the southern half of north Texas and down into central and southwest Texas.  Again, coverage will be scattered and not everyone will be impacted, but you’ll want to keep tabs on things during the afternoon if you have outdoor plans.

For Monday, Memorial Day, the cold front will likely ooze south a bit which will shift the focus for rain and thunderstorms across south and south central Texas. Details on the likelihood of severe weather are too far out to determine just yet, but plan on at least scattered showers and a few thunderstorms in the mix which will carry a threat for lightning and some gusty winds.  Right now, rainfall coverage on Monday across south and south central Texas looks a bit more widespread than the previous two days, so keep that in mind if you’re waiting until Monday to host any outdoor activities.  This could also change between now and then, so be sure to check back for updates as we get closer to the weekend!