The National Hurricane Center is monitoring a disorganized area of thunderstorms in the Caribbean Sea. This area of thunderstorms will organize tonight and develop into an area of low pressure. The eventual area of low pressure will move over the yucatan Peninsula tonight and move into the southern Gulf of Mexico on Sunday. This system is expected to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves into the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico early next week. This system will move northeast this upcoming week towards Florida. It’s unlikely this system becomes an issue for Texas – but I encourage our Florida neighbors to keep a close eye on this system as it develops over the coming days. Should Invest 93 become a Tropical Storm it will be named Colin.

2016-06-04_12-48-48

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT SAT JUN 4 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
downgraded Tropical Depression Bonnie, located about 245 miles
north-northwest of Bermuda.

1. Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that a broad
low pressure area is forming over the northwestern Caribbean Sea,
accompanied by thunderstorm activity that is currently poorly
organized.  This low is expected to gradually develop further
tonight and Sunday as it moves near or over the Yucatan Peninsula of
Mexico and into the southern Gulf of Mexico.  Subsequently, the low
is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone as it moves
northeastward across the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico early
next week. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains and
flooding are possible over portions of the Yucatan Peninsula,
western Cuba, the Florida Keys, and the Florida Peninsula during the
next several days. Interests in these areas should monitor the
progress of this system.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system on Sunday, if
necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent