The fine folks at the Storm Prediction Center and National Weather Service have issued a severe thunderstorm watch until 9 PM for much of North Texas, Northeast Texas, and East Texas. Mineral Wells, Gainesville, all of D/FW, Paris, Texarkana, Tyler, Longview, and Lufkin are included in this watch. The strongest storms today could produce destructive hail larger than the size of a baseball, localized damaging wind gusts up to 70 MPH, and even a tornado. Storms are expected to develop in the 2-5 PM timeframe and move east. SOme deviant motion to the east/southeast may occur with right-moving intense supercells. Since storm mode will be cellular versus a cluster/line the window of storm potential will be large from 2 PM through 10 PM. Have a way to receive severe weather warnings and keep an eye to the sky.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 85
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
135 PM CDT MON APR 11 2016
THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF
PARTS OF SOUTHWESTERN ARKANSAS
PORTIONS OF NORTHERN AND EASTERN TEXAS
* EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 135 PM UNTIL
900 PM CDT.
* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE…
SCATTERED LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED VERY LARGE HAIL EVENTS TO 3
INCHES IN DIAMETER POSSIBLE
ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLE
A TORNADO OR TWO POSSIBLE
SUMMARY…THUNDERSTORMS HAVE BEGUN DEVELOPING NEAR AND JUST NORTH OF
THE RED RIVER EARLY THIS AFTERNOON…WITH CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT NEAR
AND SOUTH OF THE RIVER INTO NORTHERN — AND EVENTUALLY EASTERN —
TEXAS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. VERY LARGE HAIL CAN BE
EXPECTED WITH THE STRONGEST STORMS…ALONG WITH LOCALLY DAMAGING
WINDS AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO OR TWO.
THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 90
STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF A LINE FROM 55 MILES NORTHWEST
OF FORT WORTH TEXAS TO 55 MILES SOUTH OF DE QUEEN ARKANSAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
REMEMBER…A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY
DO PRODUCE TORNADOES.