After an active overnight with multiple reports of tornadoes and flooding across east Texas, things will calm down considerably today and through Sunday. A cold front has moved into the state and is currently stalled out diagonally from northeast Texas down through south central and southwest Texas. Ongoing storms across southeast Texas should move offshore within the next couple of hours. If the atmosphere down there can recover sufficiently by this afternoon, we could see some redevelopment of storms ahead of the stalled frontal boundary, but at this time, that looks like a rather slim chance. Best chance for seeing that would likely reside further south along the coastal bend where the atmosphere is less worked over by this morning’s storms and we get a bit of a seabreeze front moving onshore this afternoon. Threats with any additional storm development will be gusty winds and maybe some hail. Widespread severe is not expected.
Further north across the panhandle region, a weakish piece of upper level energy will kick off a few chances for showers and storms today mainly across eastern New Mexico, but some of this activity could push into the western panhandle later this afternoon, evening and possibly into the overnight hours. We even have a chance for some rain/snow mix across the far northern panhandle/Oklahoma panhandle, though it’s highly unlikely to move much beyond the western Oklahoma panhandle. Everywhere else…a really nice day is expected with mild highs and drier air behind the aforementioned cold front. Highs will be a good 10+ degrees below normal across the panhandle and reaching down into northwest Texas. Further south, still several degrees below average and with less humid air in place across a good 3/4ths of the state, it will be very pleasant for any outdoor activities you might have planned for this afternoon. Lows tonight…chilly and late winter-like across the panhandle, but quite mild and more typical of summer across deep south Texas. Texas can can be very special like that from time to time!
For the longer range into next week…widespread rain chances return by Monday then a blocking pattern is expecting to set leaving us with high pressure overhead for much of the week after Monday. This will lead to mild conditions and little chances for rain until we get into the latter part of the week when we may see some rain and storm chances return to western Texas and the panhandle region. I think after this past week, we all need a chance for things to calm down for a bit and dry out.