The National Weather Service in Fort Worth launched a weather balloon about 45 minutes ago. Data from that balloon indicates the environment across North Texas has become extremely favorable for organized thunderstorms, including the potential for tornadoes. The missing ingredient is a source of lift to help thunderstorms develop. For this reason, we’re not exactly sure when or even if thunderstorms will develop. We may only see a few thunderstorms this afternoon, but those that develop could pose an enhanced tornado risk. Those across North Texas, including the DFW Metroplex, should have a way to receive severe weather warnings and take action if a dangerous storm approaches. The team is out chasing today and will provide updates as we are able.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2066
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1202 PM CST SAT DEC 26 2015
AREAS AFFECTED…PARTS OF NORTH AND NORTHEAST TX INTO SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST OK AND WESTERN AR
CONCERNING…SEVERE POTENTIAL…TORNADO WATCH LIKELY
VALID 261802Z – 261900Z
PROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE…80 PERCENT
SUMMARY…TORNADO WATCH ISSUANCE IS LIKELY ACROSS PARTS OF NORTH TX
AND SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST OK INTO WESTERN AR. CONCERN IS INCREASING
FOR SEVERE WEATHER TO DEVELOP ACROSS THIS REGION THIS AFTERNOON WITH
ALL SEVERE HAZARDS POSSIBLE INCLUDING A FEW TORNADOES.