A few sprinkles to very light showers have continued to move across North and Northeast Texas this morning. This activity has been quite light and rain accumulations have been minimal. The passing showers are just enough to wet the road in spots and make for a dreary morning. As upper level lift moves east of the region we should see all the activity dissipate by lunchtime. As the weak shortwave exists we should see skies become partly cloudy for the afternoon hours. Winds will be out of the south or southeast. Gusty conditions are expected this afternoon in the Panhandle.
By this afternoon we’ll see temperatures peak in the 60s to 70s across Texas. The coolest spots will be across Central Texas, North Texas, and Northeast Texas where high temperatures will be in the mid 60s. The Permian Basin will top out in the upper 70s along with the Rio Grande Valley. Funny enough I keep forgetting its November so I consider those temperatures cool. In reality they 60s will be just below average for early November.
Our next storm system is going to be one big doozy. Luckily for Texas the most significant impacts will be felt to our north and east. A line of showers and thunderstorms may develop near Interstate 35 on Wednesday Morning around sunrise. This line of showers/storms would race east and exit Texas to the east by early afternoon. Wind shear values are going to be insane but instablity values are projected to be very low. Parts of Northeast Texas may have some severe weather threat Wednesday morning in the form of damaging wind gusts. Our neighbors to our east and northeast could be facing a November severe weather event with damaging wind gusts and tornadoes. We’ll have to watch trends to make sure the storm system. Behind the system will be a tight pressure gradient with strong to very strong west/northwest wind gusts by Wednesday afternoon across the Texas Panhandle, Northwest Texas, and North Texas. Some wind gusts may exceed 50 MPH.