We hope everyone is having a pleasant Tuesday evening so far! Here’s what we have going on tonight and into tomorrow with a strong storm system zipping across the central plains tomorrow. While we will likely not see many direct impacts from tomorrow’s system in the form of widespread severe weather, what we will have to deal with is a strong pacific front bringing very strong winds across the panhandle and northern half of the state by early tomorrow afternoon.
First, let’s take a look at the severe storm chances tomorrow. As the pacific front arrives, it’s expected to push east of the I-35 corridor right before or near noon. As it quickly pushes east, a line of storms is likely to develop along the leading edge. A few of these storms within the the line may have the capability of becoming strong to severe and producing wind gusts in excess of 60mph, especially across parts of east and northeast Texas. This line will be moving quickly to the east/southeast and is expected to be across the Louisiana border by late afternoon, and approaching the coastline before midnight. The greatest threat for severe weather will be well north of Texas, across northern Missouri, southern Iowa and west central Illinois. If you have friends and family in any of those areas, you may want to reach out to them this evening and let them know things could get ugly up there with all modes of severe weather possible if sufficient moisture and instability can develop across that region by mid-day tomorrow.
By far, our greatest hazard tomorrow will be the high wind threat across the panhandle and northern Texas. Westerly wind gusts in the panhandle, especially the northern panhandle, could reach as high as 50 to 60mph by early afternoon, with sustained winds between 25 and 40mph depending on location. This will pose a significant hazard to travelers on the roadways, not to mention the additional threat of blowing dust affecting visibilities and the inherent danger of wildfires. Do not plan to burn rubbish tomorrow. Period. Do not throw cigarette butts out the window tomorrow. Period. Wind Advisories are already in place across far west Texas with the cold front already entering the El Paso and Guadalupe Mountains region. Wind advisories for the Midland/Odessa forecast region, which includes the Big Bend Region, Pecos, Ft. Stockton, Big Spring, Lamesa and surrounding communities, will take effect at 8pm this evening and last through 2pm tomorrow afternoon. For both the Lubbock and Amarillo forecast areas, Wind Advisories will take effect at 6am tomorrow morning and last through 3pm tomorrow afternoon. Further west across north Texas, including the DFW metro, your Wind Advisories will be in effect at 9am tomorrow and last through 6pm. Won’t be quite as windy across north Texas, but we’ll see see gusts around 35mph possible.
In other weather news…highs tomorrow will be cool across west Texas and the panhandle region once the front has passed. Out ahead of the front, warm and humid with highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s expected. Once the front passes, dewpoints will drop significantly and the air will dry out allowing for a great deal of radiational cooling overnight into Thursday. Far west Texas will have their first Freeze Watch of the season in effect with several hours of temps in the low to mid 30s expected before sunrise Thursday. Temps will stay seasonably cool into the weekend with additional rain chances back in the forecast beginning Saturday and lasting into Monday. We’ll have more on that as we get closer to the weekend!